Aah, Ian, such a pity the numbers are all over the place depending on where they are sourced from.
For the past 11 days I get 54 cases, for 10 Days, 40 cases. But the one thing both of us are seeing is that the block of cases from 8 October to 12 October (a total of 60 cases over 5 days - or 12 a day) is about to start dropping off the 14 day average. If we can keep the numbers down for the next 5 days the 14 day trailing average will go down to 5 or less.
Some people do seem to be unable to understand how this thing spreads. Why were some of the kids tested and not all? Mis-communication is a bit rich when we have been hearing about this for 6 months. I really don't understand how you could have missed the message that if a close contact has tested positive you get tested and isolate.
Anyway, let's hope they can contain this, here's what it looks like today:
The last 14 days:
Date | New Infections | 7 Day Trailing ave | 5 Day Centred ave | 14 Day Trailing ave |
8 October 2020 | 10 | 9.29 | 9.80 | 9.71 |
9 October 2020 | 14 | 10.00 | 11.60 | 9.86 |
10 October 2020 | 11 | 10.14 | 12.00 | 9.50 |
11 October 2020 | 14 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 10.14 |
12 October 2020 | 11 | 10.57 | 9.40 | 10.29 |
13 October 2020 | 5 | 10.57 | 7.60 | 9.93 |
14 October 2020 | 6 | 10.14 | 5.00 | 9.36 |
15 October 2020 | 2 | 9.00 | 3.20 | 9.14 |
16 October 2020 | 1 | 7.14 | 3.00 | 8.57 |
17 October 2020 | 2 | 5.86 | 2.00 | 8.00 |
18 October 2020 | 4 | 4.43 | 2.20 | 7.71 |
19 October 2020 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 6.79 |
20 October 2020 | 3 | 2.71 | | 6.64 |
21 October 2020 | 5 | 2.57 | | 6.36 |
Look at the numbers for the days which are about to be replaced in the 14 Day Trailing average, that's a lot of hope that the 14 Day average is about to drop if we can keep the numbers down.
DS