My take on it was the following, TF.
Round 10 - Losing to Sydney - We discovered we were not Top 4 material.
Round 11 - Losing to the Roos - We discovered we were not Top 6 material.
Round 12 - Losing to Carlton - We discovered we were not Top 8 material.
As much as it hurts like a mofo', I'm still sticking with my pre-season tip of Collingwood for premiers.