I'm very interested in what Essendon does at 7, 8, 9.
First and major point of pressure - EFC is selling its masses on the very draft choices it got in exchange for much needed talent that is departing.
So there is pressure, sales pressure, to keep those draft numbers at 7, 8, 9. Not to say long stories can't be told of how the AFL robbed Esserden again and whoa be we, but better to keep the message simple. "We got 7, 8, 9, (three top-ten picks) for outgoing talent and took three champions." Simple unchanging message.
Adrain Dadoro. Is IMO one of the worst selectors of junior talent in the past 20 years. As for his brinkmanship and high handedness at the trade table I think that's good. I like that. Everybody else is whingeing, Dadoro must be winning.
There's a view that Dadoro will cut his nose off to spite his face, well, we get a little test of that in this draft.
You see, Dadoro should pick Braeden Campbell at 7. Has to pick him if he slips there. I believe he would be mad to. And many believe that the next best player that will slide to 7, 8, 9, is Lachie Jones. Again I believe he would be mad to take Jones.
Because if Dadoro takes Campbell and Jones they still go to Sydney and Pt Adelaide. No profit for Essendon. But the cost is that Esserden then has picks 9, 10, 11 to sell to its masses.
There is strategic value in forcing up the currency price of Campbell and Jones - Essendon hurts its enemies Sydney and Port Adelaide. But even if that strategic value is quantifiable I'd argue it's negligible.
If Dadoro is the kind of bloke who cuts his nose off to spite his face he should bid on those two tied players. (Throw in MCInness.) And lose them and push his club's sales tools down in value. Push 7, 8, 9, down to 9, 10, 11.
If he's smart he's doing backroom deals with each of these clubs right now. On not bidding.
Esserden's real problem lies in the kind of player Dadoro will bring in. But that's another story.