It has been well documented that our list is short on players in the middle bracket of experience. For the sake of this thread I have placed this bracket at 40-120 games (I think I heard TW use these numbers somewhere, not sure). At 40 games most players have been in the system for between two and four years and we could expect that most of them will go on to become at least handy players.
I have devised a ladder based on the percentage of players on each clubs' list who fall within this range. If the percentage is the same, the team whose average games played within the bracket is highest gets the higher position. The results are quite interesting.
1. Geelong: 41% - 16 players
2. Carlton: 41% - 16
3. Bulldogs: 35% - 14
4. St. Kilda: 34% - 13
5. Adelaide: 33% - 13
6. West Coast: 32% - 12
7. Sydney: 29% - 11
8. Melbourne: 28% - 11
9. Essendon: 26% - 10
10. Hawthorn: 26% - 10
11. Fremantle: 25% - 10
12. Kangaroos: 23% - 9
13. P. Adelaide: 23% - 9
14. RICHMOND: 23% - 9
15. Collingwood: 20% - 8
16. Brisbane: 14% - 5
So we see that generally the better teams have a higher percentage of players in this bracket. With this in mind it looks like we're in for a pretty long season (but we knew that, right?). Our low percentage of players in this bracket is coupled by the fact that the average games played by our players in this bracket is the lowest in the league (66.3 games), this average is 18 below west coast, and 13 behind Geelong and St. Kilda; well over half a season.
Looks like we're going to have to be VERY patient, people. We're a couple of seasons behind the big guns, no doubt about it. Add to this the fact that players within this bracket include some of the regular whipping boys of this site (Rodan, Pettifer, Krakouer, Hyde and Knobel), and I think even the most optomistic of us can expect a fair bit of pain this year.
This trend MIGHT help a bit with the old footy tips too, who would've thought Carlton would be up there? Maybe that goes some way to explaining their surprising early season form. With this in mind it should be noted that Brisbane, Collingwood, and Port Adelaide have Much higher percentages of players with 120+ games behind them; this will certainly help those sides be more competitive than their ladder positions above would suggest.