Disagree. I went to Brisbane in 2019 and I reckon the crowd was 60/40 their way... I estimate there were 15,000 Richmond supporters at the Gabba that night. This helped reduce the home ground advantage of the home team.
While we do have a large following in SE QLD and we’ll still probably have a few thousand to the Gabba, the bulk of the tiger army won’t be able to travel. That’s probably worth a couple of goals on the scoreboard. The club will be spewing as much as the fans.
I also think back to the qualifying final in 2020. We lost that game due to our bad discipline. They tried to suck us in and we fell for it. We gave away multiple 50m pens in the first half. We came hard in the second half, but with the shorter quarters, we were unable to run them down.
We just need to be within 1-2 goals at half time and we win.