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We will get pick 20 for CCJ. We may have to give a late pick back which will be sold as return for Tarrant but ultimately pick 20 will come our way.
How do I know this?
CCJ is managed by TLA - Ned Kelly sold his business to this international mega sports management company and is still involved. When a manager endorses a players trade request it then becomes their responsibility to make the deal happen and their highest motivation is to get a fair deal for both clubs. This is to ensure they preserve the relationship they have with the clubs but also the other talent they manage from those clubs. Its critical that they don't pee off Cotchin for example who is also managed by TLA.
Ultimately TLA will have significantly more leverage over #lolnorf than we will. They can direct their other clients away from them if they don't deal fairly on a trade. They can tell talent looking to move that norf is too hard to deal with and hence suggest u go to another club instead.
CCJ is a pick 20 with 4 years development and been given a $450kx4yr deal. In every way pick 20 in return is reasonable and potentially unders.
TLA has the power to demand norf hand it over and they will have to. To do otherwise risks their ability to attract future talent and retain existing talent. Far too big a risk to run.
It may take till late in the piece for TLA to play their hand (they will hope the clubs can get their without their intervention). However, they will play it if they have to.
Hope you are correct in this; it sounds logical and credible. Also heartily agree with this highlighted. To me, the 4 years development makes him worth a good deal more, as their contract offer proves conclusively. They are stealing our carefully chosen and primed investment about to be franked into a potentially high quality player for the next 10 years or more. Not even nearing his prime. We are already losing badly on the Chol deal in a similar fashion.
I hope Dimma's response on AFL360 gives a strong clue that we are not going to be a soft touch on this guy. Not to be insulted by lolNorf, on a financial drip-feed from AFLCorp. I reckon he was only half-joking; making a clear point.
Not surprised if we seek a higher pick. Norf can sell their No. 1 for a couple of lower 1sts. Damned if we should ever let this basket-case, wannabe club stand over us. And Tarrant is a FA, 32 years old. That's about our pick 44 or 40, if we want to play nice, IMO.
If they want to try and walk CCJ to the PSD, beware the consequences for CCJ every RFC game for rest of his career: both from the 80/20 crowd let alone our players reminded of how he treated our club. Should be regarded like Higgins cubed.
Because then it's war! If Norf want us going hard at every quality player we want to target on their list at any availability, bring it on!
[My only slight frustration is the newest appointment to AFL honcho ranks].