Ok, just had to revise the numbers, one today not two, so it looks like this:
All the averages now trending down again with very low numbers, if the numbers stay low we should see the 14 day average fall in a few days as there are 5 days over 10 which are still in that average but they will go by next week.
I'll include the last 14 days as this makes it more obvious:
Date | New Infections | 7 Day Trailing ave | 5 Day Centred ave | 14 Day Trailing ave |
6 October 2020 | 5 | 9.29 | 9.20 | 10.07 |
7 October 2020 | 9 | 8.57 | 10.40 | 9.93 |
8 October 2020 | 10 | 9.29 | 9.80 | 9.71 |
9 October 2020 | 14 | 10.00 | 11.60 | 9.86 |
10 October 2020 | 11 | 10.14 | 12.00 | 9.50 |
11 October 2020 | 14 | 11.00 | 11.00 | 10.14 |
12 October 2020 | 11 | 10.57 | 9.40 | 10.29 |
13 October 2020 | 5 | 10.57 | 7.60 | 9.93 |
14 October 2020 | 6 | 10.14 | 5.00 | 9.36 |
15 October 2020 | 2 | 9.00 | 3.20 | 9.14 |
16 October 2020 | 1 | 7.14 | 3.00 | 8.57 |
17 October 2020 | 2 | 5.86 | 2.00 | 8.00 |
18 October 2020 | 4 | 4.43 | | 7.71 |
19 October 2020 | 1 | 3.00 | | 6.79 |
The 7 and 5 day averages are very low now, a pointer to where the 14 day average will go if the numbers continue as they have been for the last week.
DS