You don't flip picks because you are worried that the new draftees get worried that they aren't going to get a chance. Who are we recruiting? Losers that want an easy life?
You flip picks if you have minimal list spots and if you feel you can get a better return in a following year. Next year has a high number of academy / fs prospects so we'd be in a good chance of getting higher up the order. Its not to do with worrying if draftees will become disillusioned with not getting a game.
I want to flip picks to get a top 5 pick down the track or a stash of low picks in a future year when a rebuild may be required. This wealth of assets will not last for ever.
My concern is that currently a player added to our list via pick 18,19 38,39 would struggle for senior opportunities due to our emerging depth. CCJ, balta, Ross, stack, naish egg smith, Collier-Dawkins, Higgins etc
I know there are numerous examples of star players picked at 18,19 38,39 ( roughly our selections) but realistically they are going to be depth players at best
Our elite talent. Martin, Cotchin, reiwoldt, rance, Lynch, Prestia will need replacing in 3/5 years and we’re originall picked at the pointy end
I would be seeking scenarios such as
1) targeting a top 5 draft pick. Eg. trading pick 18;19 38, 39 for a st Kilda pick 6 as an example or a future first rounder to a likely bottom club
2) flipping 18, 19 for a future top 10 pick. , flipping 38, 39 for a future low second round.
Would love to be in position say in 5 years time we either had multiple picks inside 20 for a rebuild or access to a top 5 pick.