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IMPORTANT // Please look after your loved ones, yourself and be kind to others. If you are feeling that the world is too hard to handle there is always help - I implore you not to hesitate in contacting one of these wonderful organisations Lifeline and Beyond Blue ... and I'm sure reaching out to our PRE community we will find a way to help. T.
PUNT ROAD END | Richmond Tigers Forum
Terry's optimal list year, demographically speaking, was 2011.
As a few reality-check type threads (ditch the "we're not far away" routine, etc) have pointed out, we are quite a distance away. So just how far is that?
Every-one's got their own view on the quality of our list, but obviously we have some serious work to do.
I think our list is the worst positioned because not only is it the shallowest in the competition, but we are starting behind Melbourne on the rebuild program, going into a period where the draft will be severly compromised.
They at least recognised their problem and the need to rebuild, but our brains trust still to this day appear to overrate our list and the huge challenge ahead.
Of the current list, I can get to 22 players that I would keep (being generous), but two of those are veterans and would only be for another 12 months, and about 6-8 of those remaining 20 are honest toilers with average execution skills who would struggle to make a decent side and would not be part of a serious challenger.
So on my reckoning we need to turnover at least half our list as soon as practically possible (bad contracts permitting, etc), but more accurately more than 2/3'rds.
That means an average of at least 10 changes for each of the next 3 years.
The optimal age to extract maximum player performance is around 24-26 years.
Assuming we pick our 18 year olds well, if we have turned over the list appropriately by 2012, we can look forward to the playing group producing maximum output by 2020.
Hope Cotch is still around by then to hoist the cup...
As a few reality-check type threads (ditch the "we're not far away" routine, etc) have pointed out, we are quite a distance away. So just how far is that?
Every-one's got their own view on the quality of our list, but obviously we have some serious work to do.
I think our list is the worst positioned because not only is it the shallowest in the competition, but we are starting behind Melbourne on the rebuild program, going into a period where the draft will be severly compromised.
They at least recognised their problem and the need to rebuild, but our brains trust still to this day appear to overrate our list and the huge challenge ahead.
Of the current list, I can get to 22 players that I would keep (being generous), but two of those are veterans and would only be for another 12 months, and about 6-8 of those remaining 20 are honest toilers with average execution skills who would struggle to make a decent side and would not be part of a serious challenger.
So on my reckoning we need to turnover at least half our list as soon as practically possible (bad contracts permitting, etc), but more accurately more than 2/3'rds.
That means an average of at least 10 changes for each of the next 3 years.
The optimal age to extract maximum player performance is around 24-26 years.
Assuming we pick our 18 year olds well, if we have turned over the list appropriately by 2012, we can look forward to the playing group producing maximum output by 2020.
Hope Cotch is still around by then to hoist the cup...