March To The Flag 2021 | PUNT ROAD END | Richmond Tigers Forum
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March To The Flag 2021

graystar1

Tiger Legend
Apr 28, 2004
5,936
538
We will struggle to make the top 4 given our horrible percentage.

Currently, before the WC game we are at 28 points and 106.2%
The current top 4 are.
Melb. 44 points, 137.6%
Bulldogs, 40 points, 150%
Cats, 36 points, 129.7%
Lions, 32 points,127.3%

Should we prevail against the Eagles on Sunday we will be 32 points and who knows what %.

It would be a bit of a stretch to see us replacing the Demons or Bulldogs.

That leaves the Cats and the LIons.

Can we get over the top of one of those or even both?

The good news is that the Lions and Bullies play one another on Sunday, so that will help.

Time will tell I guess.
 

Ian4

BIN MAN!
May 6, 2004
20,382
1,558
Melbourne
I’m very happy for us to finish 4th behind Melbourne Bulldogs Geelong because it means our entire finals campaign takes place on the MCG

this is why we wanted Melbourne to beat Brisbane last week and probably why we wanted Geelong to win last night (although Port are not legitimate top 4 contenders).

From here, we want Melbourne and Footscray to keep winning, as we won’t catch them. But we want Port and Brisbane to keep losing. And we want Geelong to lose games (when they are not playing Port or Brisbane).

This is our way into the top 4 and to avoid interstate travel in september.
We will struggle to make the top 4 given our horrible percentage.

Currently, before the WC game we are at 28 points and 106.2%
The current top 4 are.
Melb. 44 points, 137.6%
Bulldogs, 40 points, 150%
Cats, 36 points, 129.7%
Lions, 32 points,127.3%

Should we prevail against the Eagles on Sunday we will be 32 points and who knows what %.

It would be a bit of a stretch to see us replacing the Demons or Bulldogs.

That leaves the Cats and the LIons.

Can we get over the top of one of those or even both?

The good news is that the Lions and Bullies play one another on Sunday, so that will help.

Time will tell I guess.

With our draw, that percentage can be chased down. we roughly need to gain 200 points to chase down Geelong and Brisbane’s percentage. We did this in 2017, when we won the last 2 games by a combined 145 points, overtook GWS and avoided a first up final in Adelaide. We play Norf in R21 and Hawthorn in R23 this year. We also have return games against Geelong and the lions. Beat them by 4-5 goals and you’re looking at 50-60 point gains.
 
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graystar1

Tiger Legend
Apr 28, 2004
5,936
538
this is why we wanted Melbourne to beat Brisbane last week and probably why we wanted Geelong to win last night (although Port are not legitimate top 4 contenders).

From here, we want Melbourne and Footscray to keep winning, as we won’t catch them. But we want Port and Brisbane to keep losing. And we want Geelong to lose games (when they are not playing Port or Brisbane).

This is our way into the top 4 and to avoid interstate travel in september.


With our draw, that percentage can be chased down. we roughly need to gain 200 points to chase down Geelong and Brisbane’s percentage. We did this in 2017, when we won the last 2 games by a combined 145 points, overtook GWS and avoided a first up final in Adelaide. We play Norf in R21 and Hawthorn in R23 this year. We also have return games against Geelong and the lions. Beat them by 4-5 goals and you’re looking at 50-60 point gains.
Well thought out Ian. Hope you are right.
 

spook

Tiger Legend
Jun 18, 2007
13,960
7,332
Melbourne
If we don't lose another game we'll finish top-3, maybe top-2. Just got to avoid that minor premiership poisoned chalice.
 
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Brodders17

Tiger Legend
Mar 21, 2008
12,724
2,408
If we don't lose another game we'll finish top-3, maybe top-2. Just got to avoid that minor premiership poisoned chalice.
No team that has been on top of the ladder after rd13 has won the flag for about 10 years. sorry dees fans.
 
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Jonesracing82

Tiger Champion
Sep 30, 2011
3,426
1,377
The one that peaks at the right time will win it, the vast majority above us are either already at thier peak or already have.
 
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Ian4

BIN MAN!
May 6, 2004
20,382
1,558
Melbourne
R1 v Carlton (H) – Win
R2 v Hawthorn (A) – Win
R3 v Sydney (H) – Loss
R4 v Port Adelaide (A) – Loss
R5 v St Kilda (A) – Win
R6 v Melbourne (A) – Loss
R7 v Western Bulldogs (H) – Win
R8 v Geelong (H) – Loss
R9 v GWS (H) – Win
R10 v Brisbane (A) – Loss
R11 v Adelaide (H) – Win
R12 v Essendon (A) – Win
R14 v West Coast (A) – Loss
R15 v St Kilda (H) –
R16 v Gold Coast (A) –
R17 v Collingwood (H) –
R18 v Brisbane (H) –
R19 v Geelong (A) –
R20 v Fremantle (A) –
R21 v North Melbourne (H) –
R22 v GWS (A) –
R23 v Hawthorn (H) –

massively disappointing result on Sunday. I don’t know about you guys, but in the space of 10 minutes on Sunday, I went from thinking “the season is still on,” to “it’s just too hard.”

I hope I’m wrong, but I just can’t see us turning it around. We are not playing well enough.
 

RoarEmotion

Tiger Superstar
Aug 20, 2005
1,219
732
Ian we definitely made it a lot harder for ourselves. Depends whether we can be polished more regularly or not IMO. Our best is still unbelievably good and the pleasing trend for me now is we are on top now for 2.5-3 quarters of a game.

if you played that game a hundred times we win it 99. Eagles did everything right with the chances they were given. Goal kicking was beyond elite. We did simple things wrong too regularly. Is this us? Or can we fix it? Stack Prestia nank all help here. And an engaged Cotchin.
 
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Ian4

BIN MAN!
May 6, 2004
20,382
1,558
Melbourne
if you played that game a hundred times we win it 99. Eagles did everything right with the chances they were given. Goal kicking was beyond elite. We did simple things wrong too regularly. Is this us? Or can we fix it? Stack Prestia nank all help here. And an engaged Cotchin.

The missing link on Sunday was Nank. When things were tight in last years prelim he took 3 marks in D50 in the last quarter. If he plays, I reckon we hold on.
 
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Tigerfan

Roar Power
Apr 28, 2004
25,507
947
Gold Coast (SE - QLD).
Ian we definitely made it a lot harder for ourselves. Depends whether we can be polished more regularly or not IMO. Our best is still unbelievably good and the pleasing trend for me now is we are on top now for 2.5-3 quarters of a game.

if you played that game a hundred times we win it 99. Eagles did everything right with the chances they were given. Goal kicking was beyond elite. We did simple things wrong too regularly. Is this us? Or can we fix it? Stack Prestia nank all help here. And an engaged Cotchin.
Oh well
We missed a bonus swing

If you look back on our draw
22 games
9 v top 8
13 v the rest

And away games v Bris WCE port GWS Suns Freo
And v Adel in Perth

In golf they called it tiger proofing the course - how apt
 

Tigerfan

Roar Power
Apr 28, 2004
25,507
947
Gold Coast (SE - QLD).
Oh well
We missed a bonus swing

If you look back on our draw
22 games
9 v top 8
13 v the rest

And away games v Bris WCE port GWS Suns Freo
And v Adel in Perth

In golf they called it tiger proofing
R1 v Carlton (H) – Win
R2 v Hawthorn (A) – Win
R3 v Sydney (H) – Loss
R4 v Port Adelaide (A) – Loss
R5 v St Kilda (A) – Win
R6 v Melbourne (A) – Loss
R7 v Western Bulldogs (H) – Win
R8 v Geelong (H) – Loss
R9 v GWS (H) – Win
R10 v Brisbane (A) – Loss
R11 v Adelaide (H) – Win
R12 v Essendon (A) – Win
R14 v West Coast (A) – Loss
R15 v St Kilda (H) –
R16 v Gold Coast (A) –
R17 v Collingwood (H) –
R18 v Brisbane (H) –
R19 v Geelong (A) –
R20 v Fremantle (A) –
R21 v North Melbourne (H) –
R22 v GWS (A) –
R23 v Hawthorn (H) –

massively disappointing result on Sunday. I don’t know about you guys, but in the space of 10 minutes on Sunday, I went from thinking “the season is still on,” to “it’s just too hard.”

I hope I’m wrong, but I just can’t see us turning it around. We are not playing well enough.
But what has the last few years shown us?

July to sept is hard yakka
Most sides struggle
We thrive
 
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tigertim

something funny is written here
Mar 6, 2004
24,910
4,214
Don’t think we will make the 4, maybe if we can snare 5th spot or 6th spot and get a home final. Win 4 on the trot. Back to back to back.
 

zippadeee

Tiger Legend
Oct 8, 2004
36,555
11,961
Don’t think we will make the 4, maybe if we can snare 5th spot or 6th spot and get a home final. Win 4 on the trot. Back to back to back.
Best result 5th or 6th
Meet WC or Port at the G
(But can't see port dropping too many they have a bottom 4 draw.)
2nd week Footscary at the G
3rd week Melbourne at the G
4th week Geelong at the G