Talking Politics | PUNT ROAD END | Richmond Tigers Forum
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Talking Politics

Tiger74 said:
I'm actually an ALP voter :)

I know T74... you're new school... the new breed of ALP voter... slightly to the right on the economic spectrum. So I'm sure you won't be that upset should the incumbent be returned.
 
Gypsy__Jazz said:
I know T74... you're new school... the new breed of ALP voter... slightly to the right on the economic spectrum. So I'm sure you won't be that upset should the incumbent be returned.

Will be just because of Work Choices. I think the balance has gone from being too far with the unions to too far with the employers.
 
One thing I thought the libs did brilliantly today was the allegation 13 ALP nominations may be invalid because they failed to quit their jobs with the Crown in the required timeframe before nominating.

Timing is great - just before election so its hard to disprove in time

Management was great - they DIDN'T say the guys were inelligable, just asked the question

Risk is high - I hope the ALP get this right because I don't want any Australian election for either party decided in court (lets leave that farce to the USA).
 
Tiger74 said:
This makes no sense. I agree, if you are bashing one side, have the guts to say who you support.

I don't see why anyone needs to be supported and I don't think it's a matter of "guts" as you and Livers claim. I find it easy to have a crack at Howard because he's had his chances and in the case of work choices and GST my family are worse off. His sudden bottomless cheque book annoys me when he's had all those years to do the things he's promising to buy votes, and thirdly I don't think honesty and integrity are Johnny's strong points. Promises are easy and we've seen them made at election time but never eventuate.

The others haven't had a chance to turn me against them yet because they haven't been in power. I honestly don't know who, if anyone, I'll vote for though I'm becoming more tempted to vote Labor for 2 reasons.

1-Livers has just about talked me into it. :hihi
2-To get rid of work choices and hopefully end up with a balance that suits both employer and employee.

P.S. The 13 invalid nominations claim smacked of desperation and dirty politics and I think a lot of people would see it that way too.
 
On another note...Can anyone tell me how all the polls are done? How do they know who people will vote for until the day? Nobody, well other than Livers, has ever asked me who I'll be voting for.
 
rosy23 said:
I honestly don't know who, if anyone, I'll vote for though I'm becoming more tempted to vote Labor for 2 reasons.
1-Livers has just about talked me into it. :hihi

Gee, big surprise there! ::)
I knew it would come out eventually......out of the closet Rosy, don't be ashamed....be proud of who you are.... :hihi
 
Only stirring Livers. I don't know how you can take what others say and think so seriously. :blah
 
rosy23 said:
I don't see why anyone needs to be supported and I don't think it's a matter of "guts" as you and Livers claim. I find it easy to have a crack at Howard because he's had his chances and in the case of work choices and GST my family are worse off. His sudden bottomless cheque book annoys me when he's had all those years to do the things he's promising to buy votes, and thirdly I don't think honesty and integrity are Johnny's strong points. Promises are easy and we've seen them made at election time but never eventuate.

Reason I agree with Liv on this is some like to portray themselves (this is a generic statement, not restricted to this forum) as unbiased or without party preference, so their comment is supposed to be impartial, when the reality is they have a set agenda which is dictated by their bias.

rosy23 said:
On another note...Can anyone tell me how all the polls are done? How do they know who people will vote for until the day? Nobody, well other than Livers, has ever asked me who I'll be voting for.

An opinion poll is developed by determining a randomly generated representitive sample for the population you wish to assess. This generally means you have a set number (for an "Australian" sized population this can vary from 300 to 3000 respondants, the more though the more accurate) which is divided up between the general socio-economic indicators which make up your population (age, sex, marital status, income, location).

You them set out to collect interviews with this sample, the most common way being via phone these days. The questions are supposed to be asked in an unbiased way, so as to avoid "push polling" (where the questions in the poll are designed to guide you to a specific answer).

Polling is generally quite accurate, but you need to be aware of three things:

1) polls have an error factor of +/- 1-5% depending upon how the poll has been conducted.

2) an opinion poll checks for opinions, but this can differ from final intent. This is because while most make up their decision well before polling day, some will only make a final decision when they are in the booth.

3) for election polls, most due to cost are national, and don't focus on the marginal electorates. This is important, because even if there is a nationwide swing to Rudd of 10%, if it is in heavily Labour seats it will not give the ALP victory. This is because it is seats which return a Government, and its the movement in key marginal seats that will determine the winner in any election.
 
Rosy, I get polled regularly by Roy Morgan. They email me with a set of questions which i respond to. They also send short videos like party adverts and you use yr mouse like the worm and rate the material that way.

The results of all this come up on their website.
 
I've been asked to do 2 phone polls this week.  One in regard to breast cancer detection and one about smoking. If I was asked to do an election one my input wouldn't give any indication of the likely election results.
 
rosy23 said:
If I was asked to do an election one my input wouldn't give any indication of the likely election results.

How so? If you do have an answer, its only to be a small part of a larger representitive sample. The poll is not just about who will win, its also about movements to and from minor parties, or the degree of support for a specific major party. The latter is relvant for the Senate, because while you may be in a safe electorate that doesn't support your preferred candidate, your vote may matter more for the Senate (which is state based of course).

Also answering "I don't know" is important feedback too. The number of undecideds is a key stat, as it gives the major parties an idea of how firm people are in their voting intent, and how open the electorate is to last minute campaigning.
 
Morgan also gets u to judge the effectiveness of a speech or an advert. You give yr voting intentions but then judge the material. In that way they work out how effective the campaign is.
 
They might as well give up.  The PRE poll has spoken!  ( Don't tell them the PRE poll said CC was gone for all money too) :rofl
 
rosy23 said:
They might as well give up. The PRE poll has spoken! ( Don't tell them the PRE poll said CC was gone for all money too) :rofl

The CC issue is not resolved, he could be just out on bail (maybe Liv can take this up on his Justice thread :rofl)
 
Tiger74 said:
Reason I agree with Liv on this is some like to portray themselves (this is a generic statement, not restricted to this forum) as unbiased or without party preference, so their comment is supposed to be impartial, when the reality is they have a set agenda which is dictated by their bias.

Tiger74,
That's has been exactly my argument the whole time....you're spot on!
If posters are impartial/undecided, then they should be posting articles/opinions about BOTH parties, not just claiming they are impartial and then adding skewed posts continually bagging one particular party.
That to me isn't impartial....but just someone who hasn't got the balls to admit who they are voting for, so they decide to sit on the fence, when in reality they are already leaning one way.
These people know who they are.
 
Liverpool said:
These people know who they are.

And they know what you say in relation to them is crap..all the while laughing at the arrogance of soemone who thinks he knows them better than they know themself.