The March to September - 2019

Baloo

Delisted Free Agent
Nov 8, 2005
34,326
289
That's one of the quirks of a low scoring season. Percentage can move quicker than normal after a single game.
 

spook

It is only the intellectually lost who ever argue.
Jun 18, 2007
10,723
401
The good news is, David King is tipping a West Coast-Geelong grand final. After the match he'll be on hand to explain why we won it.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 9 users

Baloo

Delisted Free Agent
Nov 8, 2005
34,326
289
Not sure. I reckon another 5 goal win. Much like the previous wins where if we had stayed full throttle it would have been more. Instead we're still tinkering and trying things, fine tuning for the finals.
 

antman

Tiger Legend
Nov 25, 2004
16,242
441
Bali/Jakarta
We don't tend to flog sides and Cartoon will be no different. 30-40 points would be a good result.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 user

MD Jazz

Tiger Champion
Feb 3, 2017
3,508
186
The good news is, David King is tipping a West Coast-Geelong grand final. After the match he'll be on hand to explain why we won it.
Kingsight.
He loves the cats, still laugh at his pre game analysis in 2017 when he said he trusts Geelong more than the tigers in a big game at the G. It was right then I knew we were certainties. Under Scott they are woeful in finals at the g.
 

sausage_meat69

Tiger Matchwinner
Oct 28, 2005
547
9
Far out what an exciting end to the season coming up. Do yourselves a favour and have a look at the ladder predictor. So much movement possible considering teams thereabouts playing each other. Worst case I've got us 5th playing the Dogs or finishing 4th and meeting Cats week one.
 

Tigerfan

Roar Power
Apr 28, 2004
24,498
195
Gold Coast (SE - QLD).
I’m doing a mini research report into winning a GF.

Teams have travelled interstate for a final since 2009.

61 finals.

Travelling team has won 5 times.
Home team has won 56 times.

In 4 out of those 5 times the away team has won the premiership.

2 of those win were in the same year by the same club: Western Bulldogs 2016.

2018 GF - WCE d Coll
2016 - EF WBD d GWS
PF WBD d WCE
2015. SF Nth d Syd
2012, GF Sydney d Hawks

And in the last 20 years the premier has finished either 1,2, or 3, except once (western bulldogs 2016).

In 2016 the western bulldogs finished 7th and won two interstate finals. However they were the home team in the GF opposed to an interstate opponent. That occurrence was statistically ridiculous and the outcome has not occurred twice and therefore should be treated as an outlier and removed.

If a team plays an interstate final then they are less likely to win but if they do win they are more likely to win the premiership. Especially if it’s on GF day.

Furthermore if that team finished 1, 2 or 3 they are much more likely to win the premiership.

So your chances of winning the premiership are much higher if you finish 1, 2, or 3 and play finals at home against teams from interstate.

This isn’t groundbreaking information and it’s not evaluated all variables but it’s good to see the cases that lead to the conclusions.
 
Last edited:
  • Like
Reactions: 1 users

Tigerfan

Roar Power
Apr 28, 2004
24,498
195
Gold Coast (SE - QLD).
R1. V Carlton MCG. ✅. #1
R2. V Collingwood MCG . Lost
R3. V GWS Away. . Lost
R4. V. Port. Away. ✅. #2
R5. v. Swans. Marvel ✅. # 3.
R6. v Melb. MCG. ✅. # 4.
R7. v West BD. Marvel. lost
R8. v. Freo. away. ✅. # 5.
R9 v Haw MCG. ✅. #6.
R10. v. Ess. MCG. ✅. #7
R11. v. North. Marvel. . Lost.
R12. v. Geel. MCG. . Lost again. %
R13. v. Adel. away. . And again. 92
R14. Bye
R15 v. Saints. Marvel. ✅. # 8. 95
R16. v. GC. Suns away. ✅. #9. 103
R17. v. GWS. MCG. ✅. # 10 104
R18. V. Port. MCG ✅. # 11. 107
R 19. V. Coll. MCG ✅. # 12. 109
R20 v. Melb. MCG. ✅. #13. 111
R 21 v Carl. MCG. ✅. # 14. 112

R 22 v. WCE. MCG
R. 23 v. Bris. MCG

Well it’s go time now.
Every game now influences our position to get to the GF and win it.

They are all versus teams at the top of the ladder and they’ve had good seasons.

It is my preference we get a QF V Geelong.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 user

Harry

Tiger Legend
Mar 2, 2003
19,387
462
I'm a bit worried about our dry weather form. 4 of our last 5 wins have been in the wet and we've let teams back in all those games when the rain stopped.
 

Bullarto Tiger

Tiger Legend
Mar 17, 2012
7,544
279
Has any side won the last 9 H&A matches going into the finals then won the GF? (Especially winning all 3 finals?).

Coz it seems that’s what we,ll have to do.
The Tigers can do it, Tim. They certainly can. I'm tipping it already.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 user

TigerForce

Richmond has a better list.
Apr 26, 2004
47,740
417
We need to beat WC by ~ 40 points to go above them on % and take 3rd spot.

Only chance of us making top 2 is if we win by that 40+ and Cats beat Lions at Gabba. I can't see this happening.
 

spook

It is only the intellectually lost who ever argue.
Jun 18, 2007
10,723
401
I have Brisbane beating Geelong, us winning both our games and a 4-way tie for 1st, Geelong (1st) hosting us (4th) at the G, and Brisbane hosting West Coast. That is just about perfect for us.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 users

Tigaman

Tiger Champion
May 23, 2010
2,555
14
Will be in Shanghai for Round 23 so does anyone know if the game is televised there. The Boss lady is a Lion fan & has said that we are not in Shanghai to watch football. Got news for her. I see the game starts at 3.20 pm EAST which is in my favour. One has to leave the hotel at 5.00 pm for a harbour & buffet dinner cruise but Tigers should be a mile in front by then. As for the finals on board Majestic Princess for the first two games so should get it on there.
 

Mopsy

"I can feel Tigermania flowing through my veins"
Jan 9, 2005
812
65
Brisbane
Will be in Shanghai for Round 23 so does anyone know if the game is televised there. The Boss lady is a Lion fan & has said that we are not in Shanghai to watch football. Got news for her. I see the game starts at 3.20 pm EAST which is in my favour. One has to leave the hotel at 5.00 pm for a harbour & buffet dinner cruise but Tigers should be a mile in front by then. As for the finals on board Majestic Princess for the first two games so should get it on there.
Sounds good Tigaman, but who books holidays in September these days?? :)
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 user

gsta12

Roar Power
Mar 19, 2003
97
4
I think it is going to be quite hard for us to finish top 2 now, so we must hope we finish 4th and play Geelong!

Correct me if Im wrong someone, but basically if we win both our games, we would need Brisbane to beat Geelong this week and the Eagles to beat Hawks! This should have us finish 4th on %.

IF all the above happens, BUT Geelong beats Brisbane this week then we finish 3rd and play West Coast in Perth! :eek:
 

Ian4

BIN MAN!
May 6, 2004
19,225
135
Melbourne
I'm a bit worried about our lack of ability to bury teams. Is it a deliberate ploy from the coaches to save energy for the finals? to avoid risking more injuries? are we in the middle of a hard training block? Or are we starting to games too hard and running out of fuel? it would be intersting to see where we rank for 3rd and 4th quarters in 2019. my guess would be middle of the road for 3rd quarters and the bottom third for 4th quarters.

L2R2R?

In 2016 the western bulldogs finished 7th and won two interstate finals. However they were the home team in the GF opposed to an interstate opponent.
I disagree with this specific argument. the GF is neutral territory. yes, interstate teams have to travel, but the crowd numbers are roughly 50/50. there have been 17 GF’s where a VIC team has played an interstate team and its 9-8 in favour of the interstate teams.

I have Brisbane beating Geelong, us winning both our games and a 4-way tie for 1st, Geelong (1st) hosting us (4th) at the G, and Brisbane hosting West Coast. That is just about perfect for us.
It would be a dream outcome, especially if Brisbane were to knock off the eagles in week 1. From a Richmond point of view, Brisbane beating Geeloing would be a better result than vice versa.