The March to September - 2019 | PUNT ROAD END | Richmond Tigers Forum
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The March to September - 2019

23.21.159

A Tiger in Denmark
Aug 9, 2003
6,116
2,283
Denmark
www.dafl.dk
Since the current final system, the premier has come from the top 3 positions on the ladder 18 times out of 19.

1st - won it 6 times
2nd - won it 6 times
3rd - won it 6 times
7th - won it once

Interestingly, the 4th place team has never won the premiership.

This shows two things:

1. One of the best teams during the year win the premiership almost all of the time.

2. There is a signficant home ground advantage/double chance in finishing Top 4.

I know teams can win it from the 5 to 8, but is such a small probability (less than 5% I reckon)

Huge games this week to establish the Top 4.

The fact that fourth has never won under this system and 1st, 2nd and 3rd have shared it equally is really interesting, particularly when you consider that fourth has beaten first in their qualifying final equally as often as third has beaten second (five times each).
 

Tigerfan

Roar Power
Apr 28, 2004
26,631
2,039
Gold Coast (SE - QLD).
R1. V Carlton MCG. ✅. #1
R2. V Collingwood MCG . Lost
R3. V GWS Away. . Lost
R4. V. Port. Away. ✅. #2
R5. v. Swans. Marvel ✅. # 3.
R6. v Melb. MCG. ✅. # 4.
R7. v West BD. Marvel. lost
R8. v. Freo. away. ✅. # 5.
R9 v Haw MCG. ✅. #6.
R10. v. Ess. MCG. ✅. #7
R11. v. North. Marvel. . Lost.
R12. v. Geel. MCG. . Lost again. %
R13. v. Adel. away. . And again. 92
R14. Bye
R15 v. Saints. Marvel. ✅. # 8. 95
R16. v. GC. Suns away. ✅. #9. 103
R17. v. GWS. MCG. ✅. # 10 104
R18. V. Port. MCG ✅. # 11. 107
R 19. V. Coll. MCG ✅. # 12. 109
R20 v. Melb. MCG. ✅. #13. 111
R 21 v Carl. MCG. ✅. # 14. 112
R 22 v. WCE. MCG. ✅. # 15. 112
R. 23 v. Bris. MCG

Finals are here early - 4 games to go.
6 weeks left.

1. Def Bris (qualify for top 4)
2. Def ?? (Qualify for home prelim)
3. Def. ?? (Qualify for GF).
4. Def. ?? (Win the premiership).
 
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Tigerfan

Roar Power
Apr 28, 2004
26,631
2,039
Gold Coast (SE - QLD).
R1. V Carlton MCG. ✅. #1
R2. V Collingwood MCG . Lost
R3. V GWS Away. . Lost
R4. V. Port. Away. ✅. #2
R5. v. Swans. Marvel ✅. # 3.
R6. v Melb. MCG. ✅. # 4.
R7. v West BD. Marvel. lost
R8. v. Freo. away. ✅. # 5.
R9 v Haw MCG. ✅. #6.
R10. v. Ess. MCG. ✅. #7
R11. v. North. Marvel. . Lost.
R12. v. Geel. MCG. . Lost again. %
R13. v. Adel. away. . And again. 92
R14. Bye
R15 v. Saints. Marvel. ✅. # 8. 95
R16. v. GC. Suns away. ✅. #9. 103
R17. v. GWS. MCG. ✅. # 10 104
R18. V. Port. MCG ✅. # 11. 107
R 19. V. Coll. MCG ✅. # 12. 109
R20 v. Melb. MCG. ✅. #13. 111
R 21 v Carl. MCG. ✅. # 14. 112
R 22 v. WCE. MCG. ✅. # 15. 112
R. 23 v. Bris. MCG. ✅. # 16. 113

Ok
9 in a row. Well done tigers.

A win v Brisbane gives us 10 and that’s the best streak we’ve had since 1980.

Whatever .... we know the following facts.,

1. Next We play Bris at the Gabba.
2. We’ve never won a final outside Melbourne.
3. If we win... Our next game will be an MCG preliminary final.
4. If we lose we play an MCG Semi v GWS or bulldogs. (Go Giants!)
5. If we win the semi we play a prelim at the MCG.
 

seven

Super Tiger
Apr 20, 2004
26,339
12,215
Got to laugh at the so called supporters who said we wouldn’t make top 4.
 

eZyT

Tiger Legend
Jun 28, 2019
21,435
25,783
an extraordinary effort to win as many games as any side in the competition,

with AA's missing 40 weeks between 'em.

we are clearly the best side coming into finals,

and only bad luck, which is ephemeral in September, will stop us IMO
 
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Tigerfan

Roar Power
Apr 28, 2004
26,631
2,039
Gold Coast (SE - QLD).
an extraordinary effort to win as many games as any side in the competition,

with AA's missing 40 weeks between 'em.

we are clearly the best side coming into finals,

and only bad luck, which is ephemeral in September, will stop us IMO
That 2019 season was our 8th best home and away season. 16 wins.
We have never missed a preliminary final from this point so we’ve got two finals coming up to register a win.
Good luck boys and well done!!
 
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Sir

Tiger Superstar
Apr 23, 2004
1,095
228
...... why does it feel like this is a fait accompli?

:p :p :p :p

jinx jinx jinx!!!! :(
 

Tigerfan

Roar Power
Apr 28, 2004
26,631
2,039
Gold Coast (SE - QLD).
We don’t have a good history of knocking off top 8 sides interstate.

2015 we got a couple (Sydney & Freo)
2017 we beat port away.

Other contributions welcome but don’t go too far back.
 

Ian4

BIN MAN!
May 6, 2004
22,181
4,681
Melbourne
Think back to R3. Rance down, injuries galore, destroyed by the pies ands giants. yet here we are 20 weeks later in the top 4 and premiership favourites. And you know what? I think we're going all the way from here.
 
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toby64

Tiger Champion
Mar 17, 2014
3,649
61
Fantastic performance to finish third with all the team has been through this year. The best home and away performance of the past 3 years IMO. I thought we were shot part way through the season.

Now it begins again. Can't see why we can't knock off the Lions up there.
 
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