Re: Thoroughbred Horse Racing
jb03 said:
Dyer'ere said:
I always like the Salinger. Even the weaker years give us a great contest.
That Myer Classic is as handy a field of mares as I can recall seeing. I hope they run Lotteria and Hollow Bullet in it. You'll get your price then, Bryza. A big even field and a good to hot pace might be just the thing for your little mare. Of course getting the carnie off is a big help too. It'd be real nice to find McEvoy aboard.
If I wanted to bet on the Derby on a horse that is not either of the favourites, I'd get on tonight. Can't see one I like.
jd, surely you are not suggesting we back HB in anything it runs in. Hasn't come up, nor has any of the Spring 3yo fillies from last year. HB's wins in Sydney in the Autumn must have been an aberration. Lotteria v Hollow Bullet, I'd take the 10's on.
I give her some chance in mares company. I want her to run for the depth. Depending on jovkeys and the final numbers in the field, I'm highly likely to lay Lotteria. She's the one I really want in. A lovely mare that took the run normally reserved for 3yos in the Cox Plate.
Filed size, content and jockeys the crititical. And of course, for the best racing we want a dry track.
The Melbourne fillies beaten by Hollow Bullet were, to my mind, cats. I've laid em all this season. The then Sydney fillies are stars and she beat them fair and square at the time. She MAY return to female company, a shorter trip and a dry track on the weekend. (IMO she should.) How's her form then? Her only run on a dry track at a mile as an adult was a cracker.
Hollow Bullet's formguide has only two runs in it this season. (Top run.) Craiglee and Caulfield Cup. (Can't stay at all.) I don't think it's the Autumn form that's aberrant.
Lotteria types are my absolute favourite. The punters love her at the short prices and she keeps finding one better.
The one I'm saying I'm considering is Johann's Toy now that O'Hara is off. Not Hollow Bullet.* I want a rider. I don't give a dodgem where she draws.
*I sack em quick usually, jb. HB had every chance in the CC. Not suited to an early bustle but a low class run.
The horse that is massive overs for the MC ATM is Xcellent. He will certainly stay the 3200 IMO and I blame his weakening run in the Plate more on failing to handle the track condition than the crazy ride and a lack of stamina. (Check his breeding for stamina!)
He has two spectacular failures in his short career, each on wet tracks. All his dry track runs are explosive wins. They are threatening us with dry weather until Derby Day. In a year bereft of high class 4yos the Kiwi might just be the one that got under our guards. 20s ATM. I'll get some of that at the critical moment.
If it is going to rain, I'll get into Vinnie Roe. Even with Smullen on it'll win, IMO.
Both my roughies are close to a start. Smith, FWIW, is saying Plastered won't come up and I reckon they'd be better suited to mares with HB. The favourite Makybe, may not even run.