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IMPORTANT // Please look after your loved ones, yourself and be kind to others. If you are feeling that the world is too hard to handle there is always help - I implore you not to hesitate in contacting one of these wonderful organisations Lifeline and Beyond Blue ... and I'm sure reaching out to our PRE community we will find a way to help. T.
PUNT ROAD END | Richmond Tigers Forum
Having a look at our draw, IMHO it is nowhere near as bad as 07's. For one, there are no 5 day breaks. Secondly, no back to back interstate trips.
Having a look at who we play and how many times, you can draw a line through the middle of the comp. First half are the teams we are no expected to be competitive against and the other half is teams that you would assume we can be competitive against.
To explain:
Play twice: Adelaide, Carlton, Essendon, Fremantle, Geelong, Hawthorn, Melbourne.
Play once: Brisbane, Collingwood, Kangaroos, Port Adelaide, St Kilda, Sydney, West Coast, Western Bulldogs.
Out of the play twice group, you can put in the "compeitive match group" Carlton, Essendon, Freo, Melbourne
Out of the play once group, you can put in the "compeitive match group" Collingwood, St Kilda, Western Bulldogs
That leaves Adelaide, Geelong, Hawthorn, Brisbane, Roos, Port and West Coast as the games you would expect to be well beaten.
From this group, we play Brisbane at Telstra Dome. We also dont play Geelong at skileld stadium this year, however that is not enough to pencil in a win.
So, in summary, if we were to beat the teams in the "competitive match group" that we play twice there is 8 wins. Then there is the "competitive match group" that we play once, if we were to win those games, that is 3 wins.
Add a win against Brisbane at TElstra and this totals 12 wins for the year.
If you can pencil in 12 wins for the year, this equates to momentum at various stages throughout the year. Momentum is probably worth a win in a match you wouldnt be tipped to win.
The other side of the coin is that there are always matches you expect to win, which you dont. These matches I would highlight as being one of the Carlton matches and the Freo match in Perth. Add to tha fact we are a young list, there will be injuries, we have had the psycological impact of wooden spooners on all our cubs this year and combine that with default improvement due to age we are looking at around 7 wins. Bes case scenario 13, worst case 4.
Thoughts?
Having a look at who we play and how many times, you can draw a line through the middle of the comp. First half are the teams we are no expected to be competitive against and the other half is teams that you would assume we can be competitive against.
To explain:
Play twice: Adelaide, Carlton, Essendon, Fremantle, Geelong, Hawthorn, Melbourne.
Play once: Brisbane, Collingwood, Kangaroos, Port Adelaide, St Kilda, Sydney, West Coast, Western Bulldogs.
Out of the play twice group, you can put in the "compeitive match group" Carlton, Essendon, Freo, Melbourne
Out of the play once group, you can put in the "compeitive match group" Collingwood, St Kilda, Western Bulldogs
That leaves Adelaide, Geelong, Hawthorn, Brisbane, Roos, Port and West Coast as the games you would expect to be well beaten.
From this group, we play Brisbane at Telstra Dome. We also dont play Geelong at skileld stadium this year, however that is not enough to pencil in a win.
So, in summary, if we were to beat the teams in the "competitive match group" that we play twice there is 8 wins. Then there is the "competitive match group" that we play once, if we were to win those games, that is 3 wins.
Add a win against Brisbane at TElstra and this totals 12 wins for the year.
If you can pencil in 12 wins for the year, this equates to momentum at various stages throughout the year. Momentum is probably worth a win in a match you wouldnt be tipped to win.
The other side of the coin is that there are always matches you expect to win, which you dont. These matches I would highlight as being one of the Carlton matches and the Freo match in Perth. Add to tha fact we are a young list, there will be injuries, we have had the psycological impact of wooden spooners on all our cubs this year and combine that with default improvement due to age we are looking at around 7 wins. Bes case scenario 13, worst case 4.
Thoughts?