This is how I have it ...
After beating Adelaide & Freo the ladder after round 21 is:
http://afl.allthestats.com/misc/ladderpredict.php
6 - Roos 46 99.9%
7 - Lions 44 107.5%
8 - Crows 44 103.9%
9 - Tigers 42 97.1%
10 - Pies 40 110.1%
Round 22 draw includes:
Freo v Pies (Pies win by approx 4 goals)
Crows v Dogs (Ive got the Dogs within a goal)
North v Port (North by 2-3 goals)
Swans v Lions (Swans by 3-4 goals)
Tigers v Dees (Richmond by approx 7 goals)
Add it all up, this comes up
6 - Roos 50 100.4%
7 - Tigers 48 98.88%
8 - Pies 44 110.2%
9 - Lions 44 106.8%
10 - Crows 44 13.5%
If we lose the Crows game we finish 10th. That in my book is our "MUST WIN" game!
After beating Adelaide & Freo the ladder after round 21 is:
http://afl.allthestats.com/misc/ladderpredict.php
6 - Roos 46 99.9%
7 - Lions 44 107.5%
8 - Crows 44 103.9%
9 - Tigers 42 97.1%
10 - Pies 40 110.1%
Round 22 draw includes:
Freo v Pies (Pies win by approx 4 goals)
Crows v Dogs (Ive got the Dogs within a goal)
North v Port (North by 2-3 goals)
Swans v Lions (Swans by 3-4 goals)
Tigers v Dees (Richmond by approx 7 goals)
Add it all up, this comes up
6 - Roos 50 100.4%
7 - Tigers 48 98.88%
8 - Pies 44 110.2%
9 - Lions 44 106.8%
10 - Crows 44 13.5%
If we lose the Crows game we finish 10th. That in my book is our "MUST WIN" game!