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Umpire farce - Getting worse by the minute!
- Thread starter iLoVeNeWmAn
- Start date
As an aside if you watch the "sound the alarm" series where they had cameras in the coaches boxes during that prelim final when that happened straight away Dimma said " that's deliberate "
Surely the AFL Umpires Dept. would have all of those stats, but you can bet your butt that they'd NEVER let anyone see them.
In the early days I had refused a few matches due to knowing some of the players in a local team but once I went up in the ranks I never had the chance to ref a club I semi supported so the answer is no - fortunately
Sorry, must be a misprint, Collingwood negative on free kicks?
Simply not credible.
DS
I think it’s probably credible; look how Scumwood is going this year.
No net positive free kicks; no Scumwood!
Fair point, but I can't see it lasting. I'm sure Collingwood can concoct a loss even with massive help from the maggots.
DS
Definitely no bias against Richmond....
Makes me laugh when numpties trot out the “#freekickRichmond” line.
if you overlay this data with premierships, there's a very strong inverse relationship between free kick differential and premierships
2017 - premiership
2018 - minor premiership
2019 - premiership
2020 - premiership
so I hope we keep getting significantly shafted by the umps.
I'd like to see the differential data on finals only in this period.
I feel like we get a pretty good run in finals?
If so, it suggests 3 possibilities
1. Its umpire quality affecting our differential
2. Its crowd noise affecting our differential, or
3. Its the way we play finals footy all year that affects our differential, and in finals, the effect is negated when the opposition plays finals footy too.
given Stevic gave us a really good run in the prelim in Adelaide last year, I think we can exclude 1. and 2.
leaving me with 3.
can anyone provide finals only free kick data for 2017-2020 to test this theory further?
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I think you are spot on. Can't remember one of our finals being influenced by an umpire. Perhaps it is a bit of 1 (are there really any "good" umpires?) but as you suggest mainly 3.
And they throw the ball more then any then any other team.
They hold the ball longer then any other team.
And they get away with 8 metre kicks especially off Daniels boot.
Half his kicks struggle to go 10 metres.
the other thing we would need to control for,
is win/loss. we have won all our finals, except the 20 Q-final.
was our perception that we got a raw deal from the maggots and what did the differential look like in relation to the other finals of our era.
we need the differential data for finals 17-20, compare it to H&A data, and consider any difference in data (finals defeat n=1) within the finals data
but I feel like its a reasonable hypothesis; H1: finals football played in H&A negatively affects free kick differential, but has no effect in finals
nobody has played a relentless finals brand like Richmond 17-20, and the data shows nobody has had been relentlessly penalised like Richmond
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