It would depend on how many 3 votes Dusty picks up I reckon. Prestia will get a few but I think he will pick up plenty of 1 and 2 votes which makes it hard.
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AFL Betting Thread
- Thread starter palmyscum
- Start date
Dion $26 for most tiger votes? seems overs. Dusty $1.01. seems extreme unders
The tigers V Lions had become a very interesting betting affair today.
If we find ourselves 40+ up at 3/4 time, they will play like they are 40 down and try get into 2nds (62 points)
but Brisbane will defend the margin like its a lead
tigers $8.50 for +60.
+ 40 is probably the bet, but no value at $3.6
I had tigers for highest vic side pre season, and was able to lay on cats for minor premiership during the week and double my original stake, if the tigers get up.
But hawks completely *smile* up my tiger V WC quinella last night.
Im thinking a tigers V Pies GF now (took enough of that at $23 last week for a couple of flights and GF tix, just in case)
The tigers V Lions had become a very interesting betting affair today.
If we find ourselves 40+ up at 3/4 time, they will play like they are 40 down and try get into 2nds (62 points)
but Brisbane will defend the margin like its a lead
tigers $8.50 for +60.
+ 40 is probably the bet, but no value at $3.6
I had tigers for highest vic side pre season, and was able to lay on cats for minor premiership during the week and double my original stake, if the tigers get up.
But hawks completely *smile* up my tiger V WC quinella last night.
Im thinking a tigers V Pies GF now (took enough of that at $23 last week for a couple of flights and GF tix, just in case)
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I reckon im going a very simple punting strategy from here fellas.
Im going to back the tigers to win the Q final, all up mystic journey for the Makybe Diva, all up Tigers Prelim, all up tiger flag.
will only total about 6-1, but if you start with a decent stake of bookies money,
its a handsome low-risk dividend.
only 7/2 for the mystic journey MD/tiger flag double and its essentially the same bet.
then, with the euphoria blinkers applied, we whack it on MJ for the CP, and spring, autumn, winter and summer is essentially worry-free
Im going to back the tigers to win the Q final, all up mystic journey for the Makybe Diva, all up Tigers Prelim, all up tiger flag.
will only total about 6-1, but if you start with a decent stake of bookies money,
its a handsome low-risk dividend.
only 7/2 for the mystic journey MD/tiger flag double and its essentially the same bet.
then, with the euphoria blinkers applied, we whack it on MJ for the CP, and spring, autumn, winter and summer is essentially worry-free
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Add the Tiges to win the flag in the VFL @2.50 and you'll be getting around 15-1 easy.
You could put a 2nd one on and include Glenelg in the SANFL and you're getting around 30-1.
Add the Tiges to win the flag in the VFL @2.50 and you'll be getting around 15-1 easy.
You could put a 2nd one on and include Glenelg in the SANFL and you're getting around 30-1.
I like the thinking Man, but the VFL side absolutely scorched me 2017/18 and gone into my non-negotiable punting rule book.
not that im not open to negotiation
We are $1.65 to beat the Bears, which is generous enough. But the line is just -5.5. $1.90 to win by a goal or more, easy money.
$5.50 for 40+ - worth a little shy at the stumps - actually, take the $7.50 for 40-59
$4.50 for 20-39, EzY's ratchet at work.
$5.50 for 40+ - worth a little shy at the stumps - actually, take the $7.50 for 40-59
$4.50 for 20-39, EzY's ratchet at work.
Yeah ive gone a half-mini ratchet Spook.
half my stake pre-teams to average out any odds shift, half after.
60% @ h2h $1.65
40% @ 15.5 start $2.5
gives evens overall.
Ive been beaten getting cute with margins on finals, so keeping it pretty simple and will roll with a similar strategy, all-up through Sept.
don't forget the closed ended margins (20-39) dont qualify for a Ratchet, because you dont collect on the previous margin
you take progressively larger, open-ended margins with a decreasing stake.
h2h; +15.5, +24.5, +39.5, +60.
make h2h your break even.
if you win by 10 goals, you collect on the lot and its party time.
.and yes, this is a good game to ratchet IMHO
And if by some bizarre occurrence we lose, you'll get $7 for us to win three MCG games on the trot.
Now, Norm Smith, a few with nice odds:
Sheds $34
Grimey $81
Flossy $81 That's equal with Jarrod Berry. They're giving Jack Redden ($67) and Shorty ($51) more of a chance to win it! Same Menegola and Jarryd Lyons (both $41) considered twice as likely to be best on ground in the grand final as Nick Vlastuin. He really is the most underrated player in the comp. Even Marlion's at $67!
Now, Norm Smith, a few with nice odds:
Sheds $34
Grimey $81
Flossy $81 That's equal with Jarrod Berry. They're giving Jack Redden ($67) and Shorty ($51) more of a chance to win it! Same Menegola and Jarryd Lyons (both $41) considered twice as likely to be best on ground in the grand final as Nick Vlastuin. He really is the most underrated player in the comp. Even Marlion's at $67!
that's pretty juicy.
JR at $26 is sweet too, given his recent finals performances.
He was our best in our last final by a mile.
I don't think I will bet against Dustman though.
my 500-1 on Stackman has become unders
Don't launch at us too often but going large H2H and line this week.
Not a fan of the ratchet with us. We put the queue in the rack when the games in the bag.
Keep it simple and pocket the cash for leysy.
Not a fan of the ratchet with us. We put the queue in the rack when the games in the bag.
Keep it simple and pocket the cash for leysy.
eZyT thought you might be secretly hoping for a Lions win tomorrow to keep alive your Eagles-Tigers quinella.
