AFL Betting Thread | PUNT ROAD END | Richmond Tigers Forum
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AFL Betting Thread

MD Jazz

Tiger Legend
Feb 3, 2017
8,003
5,217
unlike me, the bookies havnt lost faith the tigers can win the flag.

$7 to Lions $5.

unfathomable caution imo.

this acute optimist has abandoned all hope for 2021
$7?? That's just stupid. Real price should be somewhere around double that.

Top 4 is almost impossible but multiple interstate finals are a real chance. At best we would start at more than $1.8 in all 4 finals (probably 2.1 or 2.2 if we head to Port or Bris) an all-up would be more than $12.
 

TigerForce

Tiger Legend
Apr 26, 2004
52,978
3,985
$7?? That's just stupid. Real price should be somewhere around double that.

Top 4 is almost impossible but multiple interstate finals are a real chance. At best we would start at more than $1.8 in all 4 finals (probably 2.1 or 2.2 if we head to Port or Bris) an all-up would be more than $12.
I was surprised too and double checked this morning. I was expecting 15/1 as WC are.
 

MD Jazz

Tiger Legend
Feb 3, 2017
8,003
5,217
Feel a little sick saying it but I think the bombers at the line are value. Doubt it will be high scoring.
 

eZyT

Tiger Legend
Jun 28, 2019
17,051
14,787
$7?? That's just stupid. Real price should be somewhere around double that.

Top 4 is almost impossible but multiple interstate finals are a real chance. At best we would start at more than $1.8 in all 4 finals (probably 2.1 or 2.2 if we head to Port or Bris) an all-up would be more than $12.

yeah I'd rate us at 20-1 for the flag right now.
 

tigertim

something funny is written here
Mar 6, 2004
25,668
5,252
Why is there no betting on the GCS/Richmond game?

Scratch that, they’re up now.
 
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MD Jazz

Tiger Legend
Feb 3, 2017
8,003
5,217
Tigers only out to $13. That should have been their price before last night. Should be about $20-$25 now.
 

eZyT

Tiger Legend
Jun 28, 2019
17,051
14,787
bookies still got us beating Essendon for 8th spot.

$1.57 to $2.5

I hope they're right.

I dont want to go September cold turkey.
 

spook

Tiger Legend
Jun 18, 2007
15,312
9,867
Melbourne
We should use every spare dollar to lay the *smile*-muscle out of us, put everyone in for surgery, and use the proceeds to buy Yarra Park.
 
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spook

Tiger Legend
Jun 18, 2007
15,312
9,867
Melbourne
Swans the value bet of the round at $3.56 to beat the Naughtonless Dogs. 20.5 line very generous.
 
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eZyT

Tiger Legend
Jun 28, 2019
17,051
14,787
We need to draw on the old pre-2010 toolkit to make money off our Richmond IP this next month.

it was about anticipating the anomaly back then.

we have 1 more anomalous performance in us this year.

It'll be Lions or Cats.

given cats are better than a hipwoodless Lions, and given its Jacks 300th,

and even though the odds are pissweak ($2.7 should be $4.5)

I think im gonna roll the dice one last time*

*if Nank comes in. I wouldn't back a solo Chol ruck outfit to beat Wangaratta.
 

MD Jazz

Tiger Legend
Feb 3, 2017
8,003
5,217
Yeh, there's a win in us somewhere. Would love it to be against the Lions but $2.7 way too skinny. Think the underdogs have massive chances this week. Can see the Swans having a letdown and the GWS firing up.

Big odds multi worth lazy $20
Freo
Saints
GWS
Pies
Crows
Suns
Bombers

Take the outsiders at the line if a bit cautious or drop the Suns from it.
 

eZyT

Tiger Legend
Jun 28, 2019
17,051
14,787
Nick Rewioldt tipping Swans for the flag.

@$15, its worth consideration.

The race is WIDE open, Swans have a tiny injury list, a battle hardened premiership ruckman, will play home games at Kardinia for the rest of the year, likely finish top 4, and only have to beat Dees, Lions, Dogs or Cats, who are all about as good as they are.

this flag is a bit of a raffle.

and NR knows his *smile*.
 

jb03

Tiger Legend
Jan 28, 2004
30,045
5,501
Melbourne
Nick Rewioldt tipping Swans for the flag.

@$15, its worth consideration.

The race is WIDE open, Swans have a tiny injury list, a battle hardened premiership ruckman, will play home games at Kardinia for the rest of the year, likely finish top 4, and only have to beat Dees, Lions, Dogs or Cats, who are all about as good as they are.

this flag is a bit of a raffle.

and NR knows his *smile*.
He tipped us 3 weeks ago so NR knows as much or as little as the rest of them.
 
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eZyT

Tiger Legend
Jun 28, 2019
17,051
14,787
OK, ive come with a new bet this friday,

called a reverse contextual ratchet.

context: Jacks 300th, proud champion side, completely rooted and dinged up. The out-of-fashion confluence of Emotion and Pride and Nank get us to a HT lead; Brisbanes fitness and form get them to a FT lead.

HT/FT double: Richmond/Brisbane @$6.5 (66% of stake) ratcheted down to Richmond/Richmond @$3.5 (33% of stake)

its actually not a ratchet in any shape or form, but a kind of a pissweak, timid tiger-betrayal, old fashioned saver concept that makes me feel dirty,

but the reverse contextual ratchet sounds heaps better.

desperate times call for desperate measures,

and truth doesnt matter anymore, so

just rename your desperation as something good sounding,

and away we go.

it boils down to a 7/2 bet on tigers to lead at HT
 
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