AFL Betting Thread | PUNT ROAD END | Richmond Tigers Forum
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AFL Betting Thread

spook

Tiger Legend
Jun 18, 2007
15,312
9,867
Melbourne
ive added a new non-negotiable punting rule;

# 341: Do not back richmond when jack ross is in the starting line up.

agree GWS are a big show with Toby back
Thank you, ezy, for making me think again and save my money.

Pointsbet voided my GWS H2H bet when the match was moved, but bet365 let my +12.5 bet ride, so I might be having a conversation with one of their help desks in half an hour. If GWS wins, I'll call Pointsbet a pack of *smile*, and if Port wins by 13 or more, I'll be all over 365.
 
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eZyT

Tiger Legend
Jun 28, 2019
17,051
14,787
Suckas. You've got then right where you want them Ezy.
Go hard.

I actually reckon there is an angle there, not that its my bag .....

But I reckon in a Steven Bradbury scenario, we will wobble into the 8,

and they'lle panic and wind us into 20's

and probably offer a cash-out return on your stake?

Im speculating, because ive never cashed out anything in my life,

and if reincarnation is real,

I wont be cashing out till I reach nirvana either.
 

bigwow

Tiger Legend
Jul 24, 2003
5,655
2,051
Melbourne
I actually reckon there is an angle there, not that its my bag .....

But I reckon in a Steven Bradbury scenario, we will wobble into the 8,

and they'lle panic and wind us into 20's

and probably offer a cash-out return on your stake?

Im speculating, because ive never cashed out anything in my life,

and if reincarnation is real,

I wont be cashing out till I reach nirvana either.
If we drop this week's game you should be able to get 100's or better.
 

eZyT

Tiger Legend
Jun 28, 2019
17,051
14,787
Couldnt resist the $3.25 for us to make the 8.

win the next 3, and we do.

multi'd it with Fasika in Sydney today, who will win by 3 Lengths, even with Avdulla steering
 
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Redford

Tiger Legend
Dec 18, 2002
20,123
5,369
Tel Aviv
Couldnt resist the $3.25 for us to make the 8.

win the next 3, and we do.

multi'd it with Fasika in Sydney today, who will win by 3 Lengths, even with Avdulla steering

Not quite enough early pace from Avdulla. They were dawdling the first 700.
 

eZyT

Tiger Legend
Jun 28, 2019
17,051
14,787
Not quite enough early pace from Avdulla. They were dawdling the first 700.

I don't think ive ever backed an Avdulla winner in my life.

I didnt read that Joe Pride declared her before I backed her either.

Joe Pride horses never win when he declares them

oh well, thats punting.

should ensure tigers make the finals, so $$ well spent.
 

Redford

Tiger Legend
Dec 18, 2002
20,123
5,369
Tel Aviv
I don't think ive ever backed an Avdulla winner in my life.

I didnt read that Joe Pride declared her before I backed her either.

Joe Pride horses never win when he declares them

oh well, thats punting.

should ensure tigers make the finals, so $$ well spent.

He’s not as bad as Newitt. He totally butchered (again) the short priced favourite Lyndout at Flemington today.
 

eZyT

Tiger Legend
Jun 28, 2019
17,051
14,787
Not sure that is value. Likely odds $1.50 $2.50 and $1.50 = $5.60.

when I made the bet, no way would we be $2.50 to beat GWS if we beat North and they lose to Geelong,

$1.6?

But yeah.
 

MD Jazz

Tiger Legend
Feb 3, 2017
8,003
5,217
Not sure that is value. Likely odds $1.50 $2.50 and $1.50 = $5.60.
We won’t be 1.50 against hawks (esp assuming we had won the previous 2) more like 1.20 or 1.25?
nor 2.50 against GWS?
 
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Redford

Tiger Legend
Dec 18, 2002
20,123
5,369
Tel Aviv
Casper.

Its the percentage quadrella approach I use on the rare occasion that I take a quaddie. Most people just dump down on the one quad. You should take multiple quads with an anchor in a different leg in each quad.

 
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eZyT

Tiger Legend
Jun 28, 2019
17,051
14,787
The GWS/Tigers ht/ft double @$6.5 seems the value bet.

baffled why we are favourites tonight.

One horse won a listed race last start and the other won a class 3