Regrets, I've had a few, but then again there's three cups to mention... - Former Tiger Trade Debates | PUNT ROAD END | Richmond Tigers Forum
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Regrets, I've had a few, but then again there's three cups to mention... - Former Tiger Trade Debates

toothless

Tiger Champion
Aug 16, 2009
4,207
3,309
Full credit to saints... with strategic and shrewd drafting, people have gone from meh... to looking at this list in totality and saying... gee that’s an ok list
Having the oldest list in the comp will help change people's perception of that
 

TigerMasochist

Walks softly carries a big stick.
Jul 13, 2003
25,878
11,877
Caddy ............................................................................ Higlet
Prestia ............................................................................ Lego
Lynch .............................................................................. Geezer

Somehow got a feeling our trading of players has been fairly reasonable in recent years. I'm also pretty certain that we haven't won too many flags with any of Higlet, Geezer or Lego in the side 2019 / 2020.

Being a Tiger fan, obviously all our fringe players n left overs are worthy of first round picks every time one of them comes up for trading out. Being a realist, it's obvious you simply get the best deal you possibly can, that looks after everyone involved in the deal. Even if it means taking a little bit of unders sometimes to firstly, look after the players career opportunity. Secondly ensure that the club you are dealing with at the time will consider you to be a fair n honest trader and deal happily / fairly with you at future negotiations. Unlike some clubs that seem to think they are entitled to a major win every time they come to the table.
 
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The_General

It's been a very hard working from home
Staff member
May 4, 2004
11,071
7,432
You've missed the point. Posters bang on about Butler being surplus to needs, not best 22, others have gone past him, and they want to get warm and gushy about how nice we are to other clubs—as though these are the criteria for valuing a trade.

The art of negotiation is to leverage your position to maximum advantage, and that meant recognising St Kilda's glaring need for a player of Butler's type and class. (Carlton, briefly, was in the same boat.)

Put it this way. Imagine you own two homes in Toorak. Logically, you can only really live in one. The other one is 'surplus'. So, rather than negotiating the best price you can get, you decide you don't really need it so you'll sell it to the first bloke that comes along at whatever he can afford to pay for it.

Richmond is not some development ground for other clubs. The wheel will turn and I hope we don't regret undervaluing our fringe players. It's bad business!

Huh? Why is that ridiculous? How many premiership players did Hawthorn, Brisbane and Geelong give away for junk picks during their recent golden eras?

• Jed Anderson got Hawthorn pick 15 in 2015
• Shane Mumford got Geelong pick 28 in 2009
• Jason Gram got Brisbane pick 23 in 2003 (on the back of two senior games ... ever)

I can't believe there is even a debate about this. Butler was in the 2020 AA squad and finished above Hill, Ryder, Marshall, Gresham, Billings, Jones, Coffield and Ross in their B&F.

Pick 56 is an indefensible outcome. We lost the trade big time. Deal with it.
I haven't missed the point at all, I get what you're trying to say. It's basically buy low sell high. Let's turn a pick 50s into a pick in the 20s or 30s.
The point you've missed though, is everyone makes trades, to get better - not worse. People look to find someone else trash to turn into their treasure.

Generally speaking in a trade, it's like buying a share on the stock market. You don't ask for a huge price because 3 years ago the shares were valued highly.
It's about what have you done for me lately.

I don't think we lost big at the time. We had a player who couldn't get a game, who had been often injured and essentially had others go past him. We've subsequently won premierships without him - he wasn't in our best 22. The other factor you're missing here is the strength of the draft and what it does to the value of draft picks.
In a good draft with lots of depth, a pick in the 40s might be equivalent to the following year where the draft pool is shallow and the talent runs out in the 20s. I've seen multiple arguments made by football managers of various clubs that they won't take pick x because it's outside the pool of talent they're interested in.

Things are much more nuanced than you're letting on to. You're asking for us to rate Butler's trade value on his 2020 form (short season, etc etc) when the trade was being made on the back of 2018 and 2019 form. For all we know, he could end up with a bunch of injuries or being replaced by Higgins this year. Will you come back in 2 years time if he's barely played a game or played a bunch but rarely hits the scoreboard and say the value was right in hindsight? I doubt it.
 

tigerdell

Hope springs infernal
Mar 29, 2014
4,718
5,429
Saints didnt have much else to trade, maybe a future 2nd or 3rd rounder.
And they focused on 3 other trades first, only dealing for Butler at the end.

How likely the Saints went "this is all we have left to trade. If you dont like it he will come via the PSD


I get what is being said, we should have got a better return. We shoulda valued him more. It wasn't a great outcome.
But it was becausethe true outcome was the list space that gives us Biggy.

Maybe if we had kept him we couldve traded him for pick 17 and picked up Henry just to keep Leon happy!
 
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tigerdell

Hope springs infernal
Mar 29, 2014
4,718
5,429
Mods can we amend this thread title to

Regrets, I've had a few, but then again there,s 3 cups to mention​

 
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Streak

Tiger Legend
Aug 31, 2007
37,243
6,289
Western Australia
The fact is, he was always going to make St Kilda better.

Yes, but I believe only at playing a St Kilda type of game, and quite frankly that game just doesn't deliver in big games.

Player accountability at St Kilda stops at making sure they have paid their social club bar tab at the end of each month.

I know that sounds frivolous, but Butler always had the skills and the pace to make an impact at AFL level. He played in a flag for us playing a disciplined niche role in an atypical forward line that pretty much defied standard AFL thinking on what was required to win a flag.

I have never felt that Butler fell out of best 22 contention due to injury or other players going past him skill wise. The team around him subtly evolved and he basically couldn't adapt quickly enough. He wasn't really a one trick pony though, it was just that the team moved on and what Butts brought to the table didn't seem to fit anymore.

There is no doubt that the club would have felt we had the players to cover Butts when we let him go. We clearly didn't have to trade him if we didn't want to, and I think at the end of the day he probably would have been happy to stay for another year or two.

If he had stayed, he may have been able to recover his spot as best 22. But the club did have other options that I guess they felt were going to help us move further forward, I think evidenced now by the fact we have won two more flags since. Don't forget that Balmey came out and suggested that Dan should look at other options.

And in the end St Kilda was the only suitor after Carlton and Hawthorn cooled on him. So I don't think anyone can say we didn't get unders for him in terms of the draft pick, but I think that, as harsh as it seems, that was never seen as the payoff for the trade by Richmond. Opening up an opportunity for someone else on our list was.

I have no clear evidence to support this, but I have in recent times felt that Butler moving on opened the spot for Liam Baker. Baker's rise seemed to follow the trajectory of Butler's decline, if you could call it that. Maybe I just feel this way because Baker took over Butler's No.7 when Dan left.

Which brings me back to the St Kilda bit. Butts had a great year last year playing in a team that really suited his game, and gave him the freedom to play that way week in week out. But Butler will not help them get to a flag because I just don't see the discipline in them, and haven't for a long time (the possible exception being during Ross Lyon's coaching tenure there).

St Kilda obviously do have their moments, don't get me wrong, but I think there is a reason they always seems to stumble in the really big games. And it comes down to a lack of accountability for the opposition from players in crucial moments. They are great front runners when things are going well, but when players need to step up, they seem to always lack enough players to do so. They free wheel with the best of them, but when a change of gears is required, they lack the teeth to grind.

So the bottom line for me is that I just can't see Butts winning a flag at St Kilda, but I can see him looking like a superstar for them and in turn making them look like a much better team.
 
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eZyT

Tiger Legend
Jun 28, 2019
21,549
26,134
I cant remember last time we dispensed with an indispensable player?
 
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leon

Tiger Legend
Apr 6, 2014
9,077
4,608
Maybe if we had kept him we couldve traded him for pick 17 and picked up Henry just to keep Leon happy!
So drag me into a thread I haven't even posted on, smartarse. Maybe you could at least get your years right for a start if you're so clever.
 
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kiwitiger

Go the AllBlacks, the Storm , and the Tigers.
Jul 28, 2004
3,185
2,099
Butler , higgins , Markov could all go really well at their new clubs because they are good players ,which could lead to, why did we let them go ? but in our current scenario with depth coming out of our ears, we just cant keep them all,

Not stressed when we are going so well , although it would be a different story if we werent :)

Onwards and upwards
 
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snags

Tiger Superstar
Oct 28, 2005
1,784
2,144
What this brings up is the talk of Richmond and its role players. Role players that aren't getting a game that go to other clubs and get noticed. Maybe our "role" players are a lot better than that term would imply.
 
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Sintiger

Tiger Legend
Aug 11, 2010
18,623
18,702
Camberwell
Butler has surprised me at the Saints but I still reckon there is some rewriting of history here.
He was dropped in 2019 and was replaced by Shai Bolton in that team and we know how that went. He played vfl for most of the year and was frankly ordinary and never really looked like getting back in. We probably got unders but let’s see how Biggie goes, ironically an ex Saints academy player.
I still believe he is a bit of a one trick pony, out the back pace.
Love to see ex tigers do well, except when they play us.
 
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Harry

Tiger Legend
Mar 2, 2003
24,589
12,186
Don't worry about losing Butler we have Aarts who is much tougher and better suits our game style.
 
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Dont Argue

Tiger Legend
Jun 26, 2018
5,777
12,388
Let the debate rage.

Higgins had 24 disposals and kicked 1.3 last night.
Should have got a top 10 draft pick for him.
 

zippadeee

Tiger Legend
Oct 8, 2004
39,639
15,415
We got karma's compensation.
We got bent over with the Bulter trade, but got triple compensation with getting a first rounder for Higgins.
Too many deficiencies.
Erratic kic
Not fast for a small and relies on fluke plays.
Sinclair lonie both played well last night, with Kent and Jones to come back in.
Little Higgins dream of playing at moorabbin might come true with the VFL.
 
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year of the tiger

Tiger Legend
Mar 26, 2008
9,510
6,679
Tasmania
I wasn’t sad when Butler left as he wasn’t best 22 and I am glad he is doing well at the saints also - it just shows the depth of our squad.

And now we have his future replacement - jr which makes me really excited
 
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Number8

Tiger Superstar
Oct 12, 2010
1,200
2,806
Melbourne
I haven't missed the point at all, I get what you're trying to say. It's basically buy low sell high. Let's turn a pick 50s into a pick in the 20s or 30s.
The point you've missed though, is everyone makes trades, to get better - not worse. People look to find someone else trash to turn into their treasure.

Generally speaking in a trade, it's like buying a share on the stock market. You don't ask for a huge price because 3 years ago the shares were valued highly.
It's about what have you done for me lately.

I don't think we lost big at the time. We had a player who couldn't get a game, who had been often injured and essentially had others go past him. We've subsequently won premierships without him - he wasn't in our best 22. The other factor you're missing here is the strength of the draft and what it does to the value of draft picks.
In a good draft with lots of depth, a pick in the 40s might be equivalent to the following year where the draft pool is shallow and the talent runs out in the 20s. I've seen multiple arguments made by football managers of various clubs that they won't take pick x because it's outside the pool of talent they're interested in.

Things are much more nuanced than you're letting on to. You're asking for us to rate Butler's trade value on his 2020 form (short season, etc etc) when the trade was being made on the back of 2018 and 2019 form. For all we know, he could end up with a bunch of injuries or being replaced by Higgins this year. Will you come back in 2 years time if he's barely played a game or played a bunch but rarely hits the scoreboard and say the value was right in hindsight? I doubt it.
I'm still not sure you're getting me.

I'm not that interested in the fact he 'couldn't get a game' or that others had gone past him. You've made that argument before, as have many others, but, if that's where your focus lies, it's at odds with the principle of trading for your own club's betterment. With an attitude like the one you describe, you'd be struggling to ever do a fair-value deal.

Think about Collingwood this past trade period. It was an open secret they were in salary cap strife. They lost their leverage and, arguably, lost badly at the trade table. When Balmey, God bless him, made it public that Butler was free to explore offers, he lost his leverage. I don't like that and, if you're looking for the nub of my position, that is it. We must never trade quality players for unders again. It's a sign we're on good terms with ourselves. In a highly competitive, equalised AFL, we should be wary of giving any sucker an even break. Is it the only consideration? Of course not. Trading and lists are complex. But, in this instance, we failed on this measure.

And I'm most certainly not 'asking for us to rate Butler's trade value on his 2020 form'. If I did, there'd actually be no argument because pick 56 for an AA squad member, top 10 Coleman finish and podium position in a B&F is a ridiculous proposition!

Go back to the Rance and Butler threads and you'll see there were plenty of us whose eyebrows were raised by the trade at the time.

That said, the fact Butler franked those opinions in 2020 is why this discussion has to be revisited.

Huddo in the call last night:

'Butler picking up from where he left off last year; second in the best and fairest, part of the All Australian extended squad, 63% goal accuracy, as well ... all great feats from the man they picked up from Richmond for a bargain basement price.'

Will I be back in 2 years' time if he fails from this point forward? Well, I can't change the opinion I had in 2019 when I said we gave him away too cheaply. I stand by it. The kid is class. I think it's more likely you'll be back here in 2 years' time saying we stuffed this one up. Let's see!
 
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