2022 - March to the finals

[Leysy Days]

Yes, we are all hopeful of being able to repeat those great flag years* but now I look back guiltily about not supporting the case several posters made for going hard at Cerra, mainly due to what he would cost. But now I realise the quality he would have brought may have been a good investment if several of our draftees are a bust. In fact, the one I liked but said little about was Lipinski, as I still expected our young mid talent would prove his equal at least. But I now think he might have been exactly what we needed.

(*All this vaguely reminds me of some famous old war movie or western where the old hero gunslingers or whatever drag themselves out of lazy retirement after growing slow, fat and boring to save some poor town/villagers assailed by murderous thugs or Nazis whatever. But have they still got it!?)

Cerra would have cost us Godcus. Then some.

Still keen?

 

[spook]

But we are not as good as we were in 2019.

No one is.

 

[Leysy Days]

BTW not pre-empting anything but we were 9th at round 14 in 2019.

 

[23.21.159]

BTW not pre-empting anything but we were 9th at round 14 in 2019.

Yep. Ninth. 7-6. 92.0%
The complete annihilation in the Grand Final (in one mathematical sense, the most one-sided ever) obscures what a remarkable run to the flag that was. We had lost our previous three matches to North (37 points), Geelong (67) and Adelaide (33).

 

[year of the tiger]

BTW not pre-empting anything but we were 9th at round 14 in 2019.

 

[leon]

Cerra would have cost us Godcus. Then some.

Still keen?

No way. A KPD or KPF is much harder to find and prove a success at AFL level, whereas mids should be far more plentiful. So I was right about Cerra, in retrospect.
However, still think someone going much cheaper like Lipinski or even Brodie would have been just what we needed. The latest VFL performances of the likes of RCD and Dow are very worrying - going backwards rapidly it seems. I still think Ross can make it because he has several attributes but must tidy up his disposal further and game awareness. At least he can find the ball and he really contests.

Bauer's VFL debut produced some promising signs in Q4 at least, but other clubs takings might have also been handy - possible mids: Coleman and D'Ambrosio (who looks like he has the makings of one). Lets hope Bauer proves the best selection for us; I agreed at the time.

 

[Tigerfan]

1. Carlton MCG. LOSS
2. GWS MCG. Win 1
3. Stk. MVL. LOSS
4. WBD. MCG. WIN 2
5. Adel. AO. LOSS
6. Melb. MCG. LOSS
7. WCE. Perth. Win 3
8. Coll. MCG. WIN 4
9. Haw. MCG. Win 5
10. ESS. MCG. WIN 6
11. SYD. SCG. Loss
BYE
12. Port MCG. Win 7
13. Carl MCG. Win 8

14. Geel. MCG.
15. WCE MCG.
16. Suns. GC
17 Nth. MVL
18. Freo. MVL
19. Lions. MCG
20. Port. AO
21. Haw. Mcg
22. Ess. MCG

 

[Tigerfan]

If we get past Geelong

Only top 8 teams to go are
Bris mcg
Freo marvel

 

[23.21.159]

If we get past Geelong

Only top 8 teams to go are
Bris mcg
Freo marvel

Was thinking the same .... we are one game behind Carlton who are fourth and with a better percentage.
Don't want to get ahead of ourselves, but even if we DON'T get past Geelong, would winning every other game be enough to finish fourth?
Best scenario would be for Melbourne to get their act together and finish first so we play them at the G.

 

[Ian4]

I think we took a massive step last night. We finally beat a finals contender and we stood up when challenged for the second week in a row after failing 3 times earlier in the season. Unless we have a horror run with injuries, we should comfortably win the 5 games we need to make the 8. Beat Geelong and we are in the fight for the top 4.

 

[TigerForce]

How spooky in that the top 8 teams meet each other next week R15.

 

[bricci]

Was thinking the same .... we are one game behind Carlton who are fourth and with a better percentage.
Don't want to get ahead of ourselves, but even if we DON'T get past Geelong, would winning every other game be enough to finish fourth?
Best scenario would be for Melbourne to get their act together and finish first so we play them at the G.

Win every game and we most likely finish top!

 

[Dont Argue]

Re: Can Richmond challenge again in 2022?​

The Run Home: Where every AFL club will finish on the ladder, and who’ll play finals

Max Laughton
Fox Sports
June 20th, 2022

6. RICHMOND (8-5, 117.8%)

Remaining games

Round 15: Geelong Cats at the MCG

Round 16: West Coast Eagles at the MCG

Round 17: Gold Coast Suns at Metricon Stadium

Round 18: North Melbourne at Marvel Stadium

Round 19: Fremantle at Marvel Stadium

Round 20: Brisbane Lions at the MCG

Round 21: Port Adelaide at Adelaide Oval

Round 22: Hawthorn at the MCG

Round 23: Essendon at the MCG

Historic chance of playing finals from current record: 79%

Remaining fixture difficulty: 4th-easiest

Here come the Tigers, with six wins from their last seven games, and every chance they’ll make that nine from 11 at the very least.

With six games left against bottom 10 sides, it’d be a surprise if Damien Hardwick’s men didn’t reach that 13-win mark that looks like the minimum to play finals in 2022.

Really, they could be dreaming of a top-four berth, as they get Geelong, Fremantle and Brisbane all in Melbourne making those games quite a bit easier.

A 15-win season is within reach, if the Tigers continue to play at their recent level. And in particular if they beat Geelong, that’s likely to be enough for the double chance.

Fox Footy’s projection: 13.35 projected wins, finishing 7th

PROJECTED FINAL LADDER

1. Brisbane Lions (15.45 projected wins)

2. Melbourne (15.05)

3. Fremantle (15)

4. Geelong Cats (14.7)

5. Carlton (13.6)

6. Sydney Swans (13.5)

7. Richmond (13.35)

8. Collingwood (12.7)
---------------------------
9. St Kilda (12.65)

10. Western Bulldogs (11.9)

11. Gold Coast Suns (11.85)

12. Port Adelaide (10.55)

13. Hawthorn (8.3)

14. Adelaide Crows (8 )

15. GWS Giants (7.8 )

16. Essendon (6.85)

17. North Melbourne (3.4)

18. West Coast Eagles (3.25)


PROJECTED WEEK 1 OF FINALS

First Qualifying Final (1st hosts 4th): Brisbane Lions vs Geelong Cats at the Gabba

First Elimination Final (5th hosts 8th): Carlton vs Collingwood at the MCG

Second Elimination Final (6th hosts 7th): Sydney Swans vs Richmond at the SCG

Second Qualifying Final (2nd hosts 3rd): Melbourne vs Fremantle at the MCG

https://www.foxsports.com.au/afl/af...e/news-story/da52e00eaee61d1bff6d3ccab331ec94

 

[Tigerfan]

Brisbane are impregnable at home but not as much away

We’ll continue to do our best work at the MCG.
Beating Geelong this coming round helps out credentials because two of the top 3 are from out of town

 

[DuD_Delist]

Re: Can Richmond challenge again in 2022?​

The Run Home: Where every AFL club will finish on the ladder, and who’ll play finals

Max Laughton
Fox Sports
June 20th, 2022

6. RICHMOND (8-5, 117.8%)

Remaining games

Round 15: Geelong Cats at the MCG

Round 16: West Coast Eagles at the MCG

Round 17: Gold Coast Suns at Metricon Stadium

Round 18: North Melbourne at Marvel Stadium

Round 19: Fremantle at Marvel Stadium

Round 20: Brisbane Lions at the MCG

Round 21: Port Adelaide at Adelaide Oval

Round 22: Hawthorn at the MCG

Round 23: Essendon at the MCG

Historic chance of playing finals from current record: 79%

Remaining fixture difficulty: 4th-easiest

Here come the Tigers, with six wins from their last seven games, and every chance they’ll make that nine from 11 at the very least.

With six games left against bottom 10 sides, it’d be a surprise if Damien Hardwick’s men didn’t reach that 13-win mark that looks like the minimum to play finals in 2022.

Really, they could be dreaming of a top-four berth, as they get Geelong, Fremantle and Brisbane all in Melbourne making those games quite a bit easier.

A 15-win season is within reach, if the Tigers continue to play at their recent level. And in particular if they beat Geelong, that’s likely to be enough for the double chance.

Fox Footy’s projection: 13.35 projected wins, finishing 7th

PROJECTED FINAL LADDER

1. Brisbane Lions (15.45 projected wins)

2. Melbourne (15.05)

3. Fremantle (15)

4. Geelong Cats (14.7)

5. Carlton (13.6)

6. Sydney Swans (13.5)

7. Richmond (13.35)

8. Collingwood (12.7)
---------------------------
9. St Kilda (12.65)

10. Western Bulldogs (11.9)

11. Gold Coast Suns (11.85)

12. Port Adelaide (10.55)

13. Hawthorn (8.3)

14. Adelaide Crows (8 )

15. GWS Giants (7.8 )

16. Essendon (6.85)

17. North Melbourne (3.4)

18. West Coast Eagles (3.25)


PROJECTED WEEK 1 OF FINALS

First Qualifying Final (1st hosts 4th): Brisbane Lions vs Geelong Cats at the Gabba

First Elimination Final (5th hosts 8th): Carlton vs Collingwood at the MCG

Second Elimination Final (6th hosts 7th): Sydney Swans vs Richmond at the SCG

Second Qualifying Final (2nd hosts 3rd): Melbourne vs Fremantle at the MCG

https://www.foxsports.com.au/afl/af...e/news-story/da52e00eaee61d1bff6d3ccab331ec94

Reckon its a great chance that the cats go out again in straight sets.

 

[tigertim]

Re: Can Richmond challenge again in 2022?​

The Run Home: Where every AFL club will finish on the ladder, and who’ll play finals

Max Laughton
Fox Sports
June 20th, 2022

6. RICHMOND (8-5, 117.8%)

Remaining games

Round 15: Geelong Cats at the MCG

Round 16: West Coast Eagles at the MCG

Round 17: Gold Coast Suns at Metricon Stadium

Round 18: North Melbourne at Marvel Stadium

Round 19: Fremantle at Marvel Stadium

Round 20: Brisbane Lions at the MCG

Round 21: Port Adelaide at Adelaide Oval

Round 22: Hawthorn at the MCG

Round 23: Essendon at the MCG

Historic chance of playing finals from current record: 79%

Remaining fixture difficulty: 4th-easiest

Here come the Tigers, with six wins from their last seven games, and every chance they’ll make that nine from 11 at the very least.

With six games left against bottom 10 sides, it’d be a surprise if Damien Hardwick’s men didn’t reach that 13-win mark that looks like the minimum to play finals in 2022.

Really, they could be dreaming of a top-four berth, as they get Geelong, Fremantle and Brisbane all in Melbourne making those games quite a bit easier.

A 15-win season is within reach, if the Tigers continue to play at their recent level. And in particular if they beat Geelong, that’s likely to be enough for the double chance.

Fox Footy’s projection: 13.35 projected wins, finishing 7th

PROJECTED FINAL LADDER

1. Brisbane Lions (15.45 projected wins)

2. Melbourne (15.05)

3. Fremantle (15)

4. Geelong Cats (14.7)

5. Carlton (13.6)

6. Sydney Swans (13.5)

7. Richmond (13.35)

8. Collingwood (12.7)
---------------------------
9. St Kilda (12.65)

10. Western Bulldogs (11.9)

11. Gold Coast Suns (11.85)

12. Port Adelaide (10.55)

13. Hawthorn (8.3)

14. Adelaide Crows (8 )

15. GWS Giants (7.8 )

16. Essendon (6.85)

17. North Melbourne (3.4)

18. West Coast Eagles (3.25)


PROJECTED WEEK 1 OF FINALS

First Qualifying Final (1st hosts 4th): Brisbane Lions vs Geelong Cats at the Gabba

First Elimination Final (5th hosts 8th): Carlton vs Collingwood at the MCG

Second Elimination Final (6th hosts 7th): Sydney Swans vs Richmond at the SCG

Second Qualifying Final (2nd hosts 3rd): Melbourne vs Fremantle at the MCG

https://www.foxsports.com.au/afl/af...e/news-story/da52e00eaee61d1bff6d3ccab331ec94

We need to finish 5th or 6th to get that McG home game.

 

[TrialByVideo]

We need to finish 5th or 6th to get that McG home game.

Rather finish 3rd TBH.... got that sort of warm 'n cuddly feel about it for some unknown reason.

 

[Harry]

How spooky in that the top 8 teams meet each other next week R15.

amazing fixture
1 v 2
3 v 5
4 v 6
7 v 8
9 v 13
10 v 14
11 v 12
15 v 17
16 v 18

 

[Legends of 2017]

amazing fixture


15 v 17
16 v 18

A couple of mockbusters right there. 1 of them Friday night prime time

 

[TrialByVideo]

A couple of mockbusters right there. 1 of them Friday night prime time

Dwayne Russell has talked up Adelaide v Norf..... extremely important game.....

I agree, it's extremely important for the poor bastard who's potentially the No1 pick heading to Norf

Might be a Stawel Gift like field of young blokes all over the country. .... 'running dead' not to be selected!