AFL Betting Thread | PUNT ROAD END | Richmond Tigers Forum
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AFL Betting Thread

tigerman

It's Tiger Time
Mar 17, 2003
16,273
7,693
The Bombers will have a big crowd advantage in Lonnie, they've won their last 3 games, the Dogs have lost their last 3, reckon the Bombers are good bet at $2.50
 
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Redford

Tiger Legend
Dec 18, 2002
20,104
5,351
Tel Aviv
Was gonna have a run at Geecheat early in the week but when they opened at $2.10 I thought that was way too short. Out to $2.16 now but they should be at least around the $2.25 to $2.30 mark.
 

MD Jazz

Tiger Legend
Feb 3, 2017
8,003
5,217
It’s an interesting weekend, all games could go either way. Port have the Big home ground adv but such poor key forwards. Cats have Hawkins and Cameron. Ports small forwards are better than cats. if they get the same amount of entries hard to know who will kick a winning score. Dislike both sides but ABG overrides all so prefer them out in straight sets. Saltys presser if they lose will be fun, would like the journos to push him a bit on their poor finals record if they lose.
 

eZyT

Tiger Legend
Jun 28, 2019
17,045
14,778
Im rolling with Melbourne and going well.

as @jb03 pointed out, rolling all up better value than flag betting late in year.

I started Rd23 (talk about sailing close to the wind),

and will have got about 8-1 for the flag if they win it instead of 4-1.

you do get insured against a q final loss with a flag bet, but ive crossed that bridge.
 
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eZyT

Tiger Legend
Jun 28, 2019
17,045
14,778
im loading up on the Dees/Port exacta @ $3.8.

Dogs cannot win with Keith out, Weightman out, Bont on a leg and a ruckman first up.

you cant play a ruckman first up in a prelim and win. you just cant.

I think this exacta price is basically 3-1 on the most likely side to win the flag, the week before the flag.

its good odds.
 
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MD Jazz

Tiger Legend
Feb 3, 2017
8,003
5,217
im loading up on the Dees/Port exacta @ $3.8.

Dogs cannot win with Keith out, Weightman out, Bont on a leg and a ruckman first up.

you cant play a ruckman first up in a prelim and win. you just cant.

I think this exacta price is basically 3-1 on the most likely side to win the flag, the week before the flag.

its good odds.
Like it. But can't see how it is $3.8? Port & Melb both around $1.50??
 

MD Jazz

Tiger Legend
Feb 3, 2017
8,003
5,217
Or are you betting Melb to beat Port in the GF, so effectively a 3 leg Melb/Port/Melb?
 
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eZyT

Tiger Legend
Jun 28, 2019
17,045
14,778
Or are you betting Melb to beat Port in the GF, so effectively a 3 leg Melb/Port/Melb?

yes.

its taken me about 5 years to work out what the GF exacta means.

given that I think Port are certainties in Adelaide,

I feel like Im getting $3.8 for dees to win the next 2,

which, given they are 1.5 to beat the cats, its getting $2.5 on dees to beat Port in the GF, when they will be $1.7.

I think it value.

theres scope to save on the Port/Cats exacta @ $8 if you want to really work the angles,

and given Port will get in a lot easier than the Cats will, if Dees choke
 
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Al Bundy

Premiers 2017, 2019, 2020 ...2021?
Aug 27, 2003
7,055
577
Melbourne
im loading up on the Dees/Port exacta @ $3.8.

Dogs cannot win with Keith out, Weightman out, Bont on a leg and a ruckman first up.

you cant play a ruckman first up in a prelim and win. you just cant.

I think this exacta price is basically 3-1 on the most likely side to win the flag, the week before the flag.

its good odds.

Yeah, blv thats the way it will fall.
Dogs have done really well but the Bont injury is a gamble. Port is looking stronger.

Cats will struggle as feel Dees maniac tackling will smother them. Need to move the game fast and expose them.(Hope RFC watch the game style of the Dees)

on another note Spewing I lost my 3 peat RFC wins bet with Sportsbet. But did get the back to back one.
Im going whack a bet after the GF on Tiges for the flag & also back to back again (need to call Sportsbet to place that bet), just want to see the odds, haha.
 
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eZyT

Tiger Legend
Jun 28, 2019
17,045
14,778
Yeah, blv thats the way it will fall.
Dogs have done really well but the Bont injury is a gamble. Port is looking stronger.

Cats will struggle as feel Dees maniac tackling will smother them. Need to move the game fast and expose them.(Hope RFC watch the game style of the Dees)

on another note Spewing I lost my 3 peat RFC wins bet with Sportsbet. But did get the back to back one.
Im going whack a bet after the GF on Tiges for the flag & also back to back again (need to call Sportsbet to place that bet), just want to see the odds, haha.

im not really spewing about anything.

I made a lot of hay while the sun was out,

and I kept waiting for decent odds on the tigers this year, and by the time they came, we were no chance and I didnt take them to any significant degree.

so get *smile* pissweak bookies.

but, yeah, if they put up anything over $8 on us for the flag preseason, I'll be having some.
 
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Leysy Days

Tiger Legend
Feb 26, 2004
19,221
851
Reckon the two favs are morals this weekend as well.

Leysy will be betting accordingly.
 
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eZyT

Tiger Legend
Jun 28, 2019
17,045
14,778
Reckon the two favs are morals this weekend as well.

Leysy will be betting accordingly.

why would the bookies not let me take the Dees Premiers/Zaaki Cox plate double?

I take the premiership/cox plate double every year, but cant do it this year?

is their pissweakness exponential?
 

Leysy Days

Tiger Legend
Feb 26, 2004
19,221
851
I just got blocked on pointsbet as well...Weak.

Not a futures punter for the horses but also tried to add Incentivise in Caulfield Cup for a throw at the stumps at odds.
 
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Leysy Days

Tiger Legend
Feb 26, 2004
19,221
851
Have mapped out staking plan.

Half on Dees/Port double at $2.10

Half on Dees/Port exacts @3.75

This weekend gets up essentially a free bet into Dees in the GF.

Let's go Easy!!
 
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Leysy Days

Tiger Legend
Feb 26, 2004
19,221
851
Also i was able to put the below on via tab app.

Dees/Port exacta
Incentivise Caulfield Cup
Zaaki Cox plate

Took multiplier got odds boosted to $84
 
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