AFL Betting Thread | PUNT ROAD END | Richmond Tigers Forum
  • IMPORTANT // Please look after your loved ones, yourself and be kind to others. If you are feeling that the world is too hard to handle there is always help - I implore you not to hesitate in contacting one of these wonderful organisations Lifeline and Beyond Blue ... and I'm sure reaching out to our PRE community we will find a way to help. T.

AFL Betting Thread

eZyT

Tiger Legend
Jun 28, 2019
21,434
25,771
Im rolling with Melbourne and going well.

as @jb03 pointed out, rolling all up better value than flag betting late in year.

I started Rd23 (talk about sailing close to the wind),

and will have got about 8-1 for the flag if they win it instead of 4-1.

you do get insured against a q final loss with a flag bet, but ive crossed that bridge.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 user

eZyT

Tiger Legend
Jun 28, 2019
21,434
25,771
im loading up on the Dees/Port exacta @ $3.8.

Dogs cannot win with Keith out, Weightman out, Bont on a leg and a ruckman first up.

you cant play a ruckman first up in a prelim and win. you just cant.

I think this exacta price is basically 3-1 on the most likely side to win the flag, the week before the flag.

its good odds.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 user

MD Jazz

Don't understand football? Talk to the hand.
Feb 3, 2017
13,329
13,709
im loading up on the Dees/Port exacta @ $3.8.

Dogs cannot win with Keith out, Weightman out, Bont on a leg and a ruckman first up.

you cant play a ruckman first up in a prelim and win. you just cant.

I think this exacta price is basically 3-1 on the most likely side to win the flag, the week before the flag.

its good odds.
Like it. But can't see how it is $3.8? Port & Melb both around $1.50??
 

MD Jazz

Don't understand football? Talk to the hand.
Feb 3, 2017
13,329
13,709
Or are you betting Melb to beat Port in the GF, so effectively a 3 leg Melb/Port/Melb?
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 user

eZyT

Tiger Legend
Jun 28, 2019
21,434
25,771
Or are you betting Melb to beat Port in the GF, so effectively a 3 leg Melb/Port/Melb?

yes.

its taken me about 5 years to work out what the GF exacta means.

given that I think Port are certainties in Adelaide,

I feel like Im getting $3.8 for dees to win the next 2,

which, given they are 1.5 to beat the cats, its getting $2.5 on dees to beat Port in the GF, when they will be $1.7.

I think it value.

theres scope to save on the Port/Cats exacta @ $8 if you want to really work the angles,

and given Port will get in a lot easier than the Cats will, if Dees choke
 
Last edited:

Al Bundy

Premiers 2017, 2019, 2020 ...2021?
Aug 27, 2003
7,141
616
Melbourne
im loading up on the Dees/Port exacta @ $3.8.

Dogs cannot win with Keith out, Weightman out, Bont on a leg and a ruckman first up.

you cant play a ruckman first up in a prelim and win. you just cant.

I think this exacta price is basically 3-1 on the most likely side to win the flag, the week before the flag.

its good odds.

Yeah, blv thats the way it will fall.
Dogs have done really well but the Bont injury is a gamble. Port is looking stronger.

Cats will struggle as feel Dees maniac tackling will smother them. Need to move the game fast and expose them.(Hope RFC watch the game style of the Dees)

on another note Spewing I lost my 3 peat RFC wins bet with Sportsbet. But did get the back to back one.
Im going whack a bet after the GF on Tiges for the flag & also back to back again (need to call Sportsbet to place that bet), just want to see the odds, haha.
 
  • Haha
Reactions: 1 user

eZyT

Tiger Legend
Jun 28, 2019
21,434
25,771
Yeah, blv thats the way it will fall.
Dogs have done really well but the Bont injury is a gamble. Port is looking stronger.

Cats will struggle as feel Dees maniac tackling will smother them. Need to move the game fast and expose them.(Hope RFC watch the game style of the Dees)

on another note Spewing I lost my 3 peat RFC wins bet with Sportsbet. But did get the back to back one.
Im going whack a bet after the GF on Tiges for the flag & also back to back again (need to call Sportsbet to place that bet), just want to see the odds, haha.

im not really spewing about anything.

I made a lot of hay while the sun was out,

and I kept waiting for decent odds on the tigers this year, and by the time they came, we were no chance and I didnt take them to any significant degree.

so get *smile* pissweak bookies.

but, yeah, if they put up anything over $8 on us for the flag preseason, I'll be having some.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 user

Leysy Days

Tiger Legend
Feb 26, 2004
21,331
7,933
Reckon the two favs are morals this weekend as well.

Leysy will be betting accordingly.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 2 users

eZyT

Tiger Legend
Jun 28, 2019
21,434
25,771
Reckon the two favs are morals this weekend as well.

Leysy will be betting accordingly.

why would the bookies not let me take the Dees Premiers/Zaaki Cox plate double?

I take the premiership/cox plate double every year, but cant do it this year?

is their pissweakness exponential?
 

Leysy Days

Tiger Legend
Feb 26, 2004
21,331
7,933
I just got blocked on pointsbet as well...Weak.

Not a futures punter for the horses but also tried to add Incentivise in Caulfield Cup for a throw at the stumps at odds.
 
  • Angry
Reactions: 1 user

Leysy Days

Tiger Legend
Feb 26, 2004
21,331
7,933
Have mapped out staking plan.

Half on Dees/Port double at $2.10

Half on Dees/Port exacts @3.75

This weekend gets up essentially a free bet into Dees in the GF.

Let's go Easy!!
 
  • Love
Reactions: 1 user

Leysy Days

Tiger Legend
Feb 26, 2004
21,331
7,933
Also i was able to put the below on via tab app.

Dees/Port exacta
Incentivise Caulfield Cup
Zaaki Cox plate

Took multiplier got odds boosted to $84
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 user

spook

Kick the f*ckin' goal
Jun 18, 2007
21,912
26,416
Melbourne
Of course, you have backed Melbourne at $21 earlier in the year, Port at $8, and the quinella at $15. :cool:
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 users

eZyT

Tiger Legend
Jun 28, 2019
21,434
25,771
Of course, you have backed Melbourne at $21 earlier in the year, Port at $8, and the quinella at $15. :cool:

with your Clayton Oliver Brownlow bet as well,

there mounting evidence you like to dress up in Ralph Lauren, and go to wine bars where nobody knows you, and drink Tasmanian whisky.

Not that theres anything wrong with that.
 
  • Haha
Reactions: 1 user

spook

Kick the f*ckin' goal
Jun 18, 2007
21,912
26,416
Melbourne
with your Clayton Oliver Brownlow bet as well,

there mounting evidence you like to dress up in Ralph Lauren, and go to wine bars where nobody knows you, and drink Tasmanian whisky.

Not that theres anything wrong with that.
I think you're confusing me with @an_oxford_man
 
  • Haha
Reactions: 1 users

MD Jazz

Don't understand football? Talk to the hand.
Feb 3, 2017
13,329
13,709
When Geelong promoted Zuthrie the Dees were morally 1.10
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 user