AFL Betting Thread | PUNT ROAD END | Richmond Tigers Forum
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AFL Betting Thread

Leysy Days

Tiger Legend
Feb 26, 2004
20,286
4,465
Brisbane haven't won at the G in ages. We're still extremely hard to beat there.

We won like 15 or 17 against them and are playing as good as them.

Shedda 300.

We'll brain them. $1.85 is more than generous ILHO.
 
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Redford

Tiger Legend
Dec 18, 2002
27,992
17,010
Tel Aviv
Brisbane haven't won at the G in ages. We're still extremely hard to beat there.

We won like 15 or 17 against them and are playing as good as them.

Shedda 300.

We'll brain them. $1.85 is more than generous ILHO.
Well folks, there goes any last hope of us making the finals.
 
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Redford

Tiger Legend
Dec 18, 2002
27,992
17,010
Tel Aviv
Real interesting game tonight. Are the Dismantle Dockers the real deal ? Can the Snow Chains shore up some hope that they can beat Geelong this year. Geez….ABG.

Going with the Demons to cover the line but won’t be a shock if they don’t, or get beaten.
 

Leysy Days

Tiger Legend
Feb 26, 2004
20,286
4,465
Thanks for the definitive tip Softford.

Leysy does have a good thing on tonight's game to set the thread up with a bank for the weekend.

It has pissed down all week, the ground was already chopped up from rugby, soccer and Our sport. The surface has come under criticism from the WA media all week.

Add some wind and two defensively sound teams and the Total unders line of 143.5 is way too high.

Fill your boots on the total unders folks.
 

Redford

Tiger Legend
Dec 18, 2002
27,992
17,010
Tel Aviv
Thanks for the definitive tip Softford.

Leysy does have a good thing on tonight's game to set the thread up with a bank for the weekend.

It has pissed down all week, the ground was already chopped up from rugby, soccer and Our sport. The surface has come under criticism from the WA media all week.

Add some wind and two defensively sound teams and the Total unders line of 143.5 is way too high.

Fill your boots on the total unders folks.
What part of “going with the Demons to cover the line” didn’t you get Nobet Pays ?
 

MD Jazz

Nuance is hard to find
Feb 3, 2017
10,716
9,723
The blues are 1.07 to make the 8 with sportsbet. And Bulldogs are 2.25. Am I missing something here?

Bulldogs will win their last 3. Even if the Blues win one (they have Bris away (/Melb & Pies so one win is at best IMO) the Bulldogs still get them if they win all 3. And they are 1.5 against Freo, about 1.25 against GWS and will then be about 1.30 against Hawks.

They are about 20 points diff behind on % so likely to make that up with 3 wins.

Someone could likey do the maths based on probability but it seems way out of whack to me.

Understand the Blues already have banked the wins but they appear massive unders at 1.07.
 

RoarEmotion

Tiger Champion
Aug 20, 2005
3,112
3,505
The blues are 1.07 to make the 8 with sportsbet. And Bulldogs are 2.25. Am I missing something here?

Bulldogs will win their last 3. Even if the Blues win one (they have Bris away (/Melb & Pies so one win is at best IMO) the Bulldogs still get them if they win all 3. And they are 1.5 against Freo, about 1.25 against GWS and will then be about 1.30 against Hawks.

They are about 20 points diff behind on % so likely to make that up with 3 wins.

Someone could likey do the maths based on probability but it seems way out of whack to me.

Understand the Blues already have banked the wins but they appear massive unders at 1.07.
The maths is probably right.

The odds of them losing all three (say 0.33^3=0.03) and two of st kilda Richmond and wb making up the difference (say 0.5) is low. About 1-2%. Plus odds of them winning one and two of the others making up difference is another small number. Another 1 or 2%.
 

jb03

Tiger Legend
Jan 28, 2004
32,419
9,517
Melbourne
The blues are 1.07 to make the 8 with sportsbet. And Bulldogs are 2.25. Am I missing something here?

Bulldogs will win their last 3. Even if the Blues win one (they have Bris away (/Melb & Pies so one win is at best IMO) the Bulldogs still get them if they win all 3. And they are 1.5 against Freo, about 1.25 against GWS and will then be about 1.30 against Hawks.

They are about 20 points diff behind on % so likely to make that up with 3 wins.

Someone could likey do the maths based on probability but it seems way out of whack to me.

Understand the Blues already have banked the wins but they appear massive unders at 1.07.
Carlton are a $1.30ish on Betfair. $1.07 is poison.
 

eZyT

Tiger Legend
Jun 28, 2019
19,177
20,176
I figure if we win tonight, well win the flag.

So the $21 is ten times the bet
 
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tigerman

It's Tiger Time
Mar 17, 2003
20,977
14,738
Have taken the Tiges to win tonight, with $hai to kick 1 goal @ $2.30 and $nags Cumberland to kick 1 @ $2.35.
 
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Bunnerz

Richmond are cool man
Aug 12, 2003
3,091
411
Werribee (melb)
Not betting on out match as we can play really poorly away.
Lost my money on the Dee's last night.

Will try and get it back on the horses today.
 

eZyT

Tiger Legend
Jun 28, 2019
19,177
20,176
Ive ratchetted the *smile* out of us

All the way to >40.

I think we unleash tonight in the manner of 2017.

Lynchy tears them apart and kicks 9

Land the >40 all up on halved flag odds,

Should yeild 100-1 :oops:
 
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tigerman

It's Tiger Time
Mar 17, 2003
20,977
14,738
Have taken the Tiges to win tonight, with $hai to kick 1 goal @ $2.30 and $nags Cumberland to kick 1 @ $2.35.
$hai and $nags have lived up to their end of the bargain, just need the Tiges to win to get a $4.65 result.

Port paying $2.40 at half time, might layoff in the 2nd half.
 

Redford

Tiger Legend
Dec 18, 2002
27,992
17,010
Tel Aviv
Loss on Melbourne recovered thankfully with line win on Geelong. Will think about the other games tomorrow…
 
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