AFL Betting Thread | PUNT ROAD END | Richmond Tigers Forum
  • IMPORTANT // Please look after your loved ones, yourself and be kind to others. If you are feeling that the world is too hard to handle there is always help - I implore you not to hesitate in contacting one of these wonderful organisations Lifeline and Beyond Blue ... and I'm sure reaching out to our PRE community we will find a way to help. T.

AFL Betting Thread

Leysy Days

Tiger Legend
Feb 26, 2004
21,331
7,933
Brisbane haven't won at the G in ages. We're still extremely hard to beat there.

We won like 15 or 17 against them and are playing as good as them.

Shedda 300.

We'll brain them. $1.85 is more than generous ILHO.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 users

Redford

Tiger Legend
Dec 18, 2002
34,354
26,194
Tel Aviv
Brisbane haven't won at the G in ages. We're still extremely hard to beat there.

We won like 15 or 17 against them and are playing as good as them.

Shedda 300.

We'll brain them. $1.85 is more than generous ILHO.
Well folks, there goes any last hope of us making the finals.
 
  • Haha
Reactions: 1 user

Redford

Tiger Legend
Dec 18, 2002
34,354
26,194
Tel Aviv
Real interesting game tonight. Are the Dismantle Dockers the real deal ? Can the Snow Chains shore up some hope that they can beat Geelong this year. Geez….ABG.

Going with the Demons to cover the line but won’t be a shock if they don’t, or get beaten.
 

Leysy Days

Tiger Legend
Feb 26, 2004
21,331
7,933
Thanks for the definitive tip Softford.

Leysy does have a good thing on tonight's game to set the thread up with a bank for the weekend.

It has pissed down all week, the ground was already chopped up from rugby, soccer and Our sport. The surface has come under criticism from the WA media all week.

Add some wind and two defensively sound teams and the Total unders line of 143.5 is way too high.

Fill your boots on the total unders folks.
 

Redford

Tiger Legend
Dec 18, 2002
34,354
26,194
Tel Aviv
Thanks for the definitive tip Softford.

Leysy does have a good thing on tonight's game to set the thread up with a bank for the weekend.

It has pissed down all week, the ground was already chopped up from rugby, soccer and Our sport. The surface has come under criticism from the WA media all week.

Add some wind and two defensively sound teams and the Total unders line of 143.5 is way too high.

Fill your boots on the total unders folks.
What part of “going with the Demons to cover the line” didn’t you get Nobet Pays ?
 

MD Jazz

Don't understand football? Talk to the hand.
Feb 3, 2017
13,325
13,704
The blues are 1.07 to make the 8 with sportsbet. And Bulldogs are 2.25. Am I missing something here?

Bulldogs will win their last 3. Even if the Blues win one (they have Bris away (/Melb & Pies so one win is at best IMO) the Bulldogs still get them if they win all 3. And they are 1.5 against Freo, about 1.25 against GWS and will then be about 1.30 against Hawks.

They are about 20 points diff behind on % so likely to make that up with 3 wins.

Someone could likey do the maths based on probability but it seems way out of whack to me.

Understand the Blues already have banked the wins but they appear massive unders at 1.07.
 

RoarEmotion

Tiger Champion
Aug 20, 2005
4,933
6,439
The blues are 1.07 to make the 8 with sportsbet. And Bulldogs are 2.25. Am I missing something here?

Bulldogs will win their last 3. Even if the Blues win one (they have Bris away (/Melb & Pies so one win is at best IMO) the Bulldogs still get them if they win all 3. And they are 1.5 against Freo, about 1.25 against GWS and will then be about 1.30 against Hawks.

They are about 20 points diff behind on % so likely to make that up with 3 wins.

Someone could likey do the maths based on probability but it seems way out of whack to me.

Understand the Blues already have banked the wins but they appear massive unders at 1.07.
The maths is probably right.

The odds of them losing all three (say 0.33^3=0.03) and two of st kilda Richmond and wb making up the difference (say 0.5) is low. About 1-2%. Plus odds of them winning one and two of the others making up difference is another small number. Another 1 or 2%.
 

jb03

Tiger Legend
Jan 28, 2004
33,856
12,108
Melbourne
The blues are 1.07 to make the 8 with sportsbet. And Bulldogs are 2.25. Am I missing something here?

Bulldogs will win their last 3. Even if the Blues win one (they have Bris away (/Melb & Pies so one win is at best IMO) the Bulldogs still get them if they win all 3. And they are 1.5 against Freo, about 1.25 against GWS and will then be about 1.30 against Hawks.

They are about 20 points diff behind on % so likely to make that up with 3 wins.

Someone could likey do the maths based on probability but it seems way out of whack to me.

Understand the Blues already have banked the wins but they appear massive unders at 1.07.
Carlton are a $1.30ish on Betfair. $1.07 is poison.
 

eZyT

Tiger Legend
Jun 28, 2019
21,430
25,753
I figure if we win tonight, well win the flag.

So the $21 is ten times the bet
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 user

tigerman

It's Tiger Time
Mar 17, 2003
24,149
19,617
Have taken the Tiges to win tonight, with $hai to kick 1 goal @ $2.30 and $nags Cumberland to kick 1 @ $2.35.
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 user

Bunnerz

Richmond are cool man
Aug 12, 2003
3,136
437
Geelong
Not betting on out match as we can play really poorly away.
Lost my money on the Dee's last night.

Will try and get it back on the horses today.
 

eZyT

Tiger Legend
Jun 28, 2019
21,430
25,753
Ive ratchetted the *smile* out of us

All the way to >40.

I think we unleash tonight in the manner of 2017.

Lynchy tears them apart and kicks 9

Land the >40 all up on halved flag odds,

Should yeild 100-1 :oops:
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 user

tigerman

It's Tiger Time
Mar 17, 2003
24,149
19,617
Have taken the Tiges to win tonight, with $hai to kick 1 goal @ $2.30 and $nags Cumberland to kick 1 @ $2.35.
$hai and $nags have lived up to their end of the bargain, just need the Tiges to win to get a $4.65 result.

Port paying $2.40 at half time, might layoff in the 2nd half.
 

Redford

Tiger Legend
Dec 18, 2002
34,354
26,194
Tel Aviv
Loss on Melbourne recovered thankfully with line win on Geelong. Will think about the other games tomorrow…