The March to September - 2019

[23.21.159]

so am I right in interpreting these stats like this L2

in the last 25 years, 66% of the time Richmond win the premiership, they used 38 or more players?

and we could make it 75% this year?

In the last 25 years, it's 100%.

 

[LeeToRainesToRoach]

so am I right in interpreting these stats like this L2

in the last 75 years, 57% of the time Richmond win the premiership, they used 38 or more players?

and we could make it 63% this year?

Fix up a couple of minor details and you've earned a Credit in Left-Wing Statistics 101.

 

[Punt n Brunton]

I would love to end up 4th and play the Cats at the G. They’ve been dreading that outcome as they’ve been posturing for their home final. It might just break the cats mentally and Chris Scott emotionally

 

[22nd Man]

The Hun is pumping up our tyres saying we loom as a dangerous flag chance. I feel that we play better when everyone expects us to fall over. One game at a time.

They would have pumped up Carlton for a finals charge if they had won yesterday. I'm surprised esserdrugs wasn't elevated to Sun flag favourites. They love a (most recent) winner.

 

[eZyT]

In the last 25 years, it's 100%.

yeah I totally stuffed that up

 

[DavidSSS]

On the club site, Hardwick praised Edwards' role as a high half forward against the Suns.

He also said, 'He was the best score-assist player in the AFL last year'.

So clearly, through re-locating Stack and Edwards to the forward line, and with the addition of Bolton, we're pumping skill and X-factor into attack. The aim is to increase our scoring power which, in my view, has traditionally been a problem if a game turned into a shoot out.

The match committee want to maximise goals if we win centre clearances, and maximise our ability to counter attack from defence if we don't, hence the immediate inclusion of Short, and trialling of Egg's skill as a defender and distributor. ( I also noted with interest the use of Baker down back in the magoos.)

The gut-running of Ellis and Kmac also assists with our team-defence approach, as does the capacity of Chol and Nank (once fit) to drift back and stand in the hole or block leading channels.

Make no mistake, we are now in rehearsal mode for a tilt at the flag, and are assembling a squad capable of regularly kicking 18-20 goals rather than just 14-16.

All these developments and refinements have come at a bad time for the likes of Butler and Higgins, whose form dropped away during a critical period as injured players once again became available.

Hmm, score more to win, as opposed to limit the other side more. Possibly a response to the new rules now we have seen them for half a season. Scoring has been low, is this an opening to win with a more attacking strategy? The AFL would be happy, still wouldn't justify anything those idiots do.

One stat I constantly look at is the percentage of times inside 50 that we, and our opposition, score. It was an interesting weekend on that score. Mostly teams win by restricting the other side's scoring percentage for inside 50 entries, interestingly, Hawthorn really restricted Collingwood's inside 50 entries. Still haven't had a good look at the stats but we were great at this in late 2017.

DS

 

[eZyT]

On the club site, Hardwick praised Edwards' role as a high half forward against the Suns.

often wondered what exactly is a high half forward? Is it pretty much a wingman?

or is it the role Jim Buckley used to play when he'd smoke a big scoob before the game?

 

[taztiger4]

Rance is now on the LTI. We won't see him this season.

LTIL rules are now only 6 weeks

LTIL is now 6 weeks.

do you have a link to that ruling ?, I searched & could only find this from 2017 that says 8 weeks

https://s.afl.com.au/staticfile/AFL%20Tenant/AFL/Files/AFL-Rules-June-2017.PDF

 

[tigerman]

often wondered what exactly is a high half forward? Is it pretty much a wingman?

or is it the role Jim Buckley used to play when he'd smoke a big scoob before the game?

 

[Jetboy]

Hmmmm, has anybody realised that at the end of Rnd 16 2017, we were 6th on the ladder with a 9/6 win loss record and a percentage of 105.3......sitting out of the top 4 on percentage.?.....excitingly errie.

Who says history never repeats??

 

[Mr Brightside]

Hmmmm, has anybody realised that at the end of Rnd 16 2017, we were 6th on the ladder with a 9/6 win loss record and a percentage of 105.3......sitting out of the top 4 on percentage.?.....excitingly errie.

Who says history never repeats??

Split enz

 

[Tigerfan]

Hmmmm, has anybody realised that at the end of Rnd 16 2017, we were 6th on the ladder with a 9/6 win loss record and a percentage of 105.3......sitting out of the top 4 on percentage.?.....excitingly errie.

Who says history never repeats??

Crazy true but this time we’ve got the rest of our games at the MCG. No trip to Geelong.

And 2017 was a relatively soft run home playing just 2 finalists.

This time we have 5 probable finalists out of 7 to negotiate. And then 3 or 4 more.

So if we win the big one, we’ll have earned it.

unlike the last fortnight... here come the big boys.

 

[Ian4]

Hmm, score more to win, as opposed to limit the other side more. Possibly a response to the new rules now we have seen them for half a season. Scoring has been low, is this an opening to win with a more attacking strategy? The AFL would be happy, still wouldn't justify anything those idiots do.

I was listening to SEN at lunchtime Sunday, and I think it was KB made a very valid point that struck true to me... The majority of footy gameplans and strategies are designed to negate the opposition from scoring. Not many have plans or set plays to increase scoring or to pluck pluck a goal from a specific situation (perhaps with the exception a forward stoppage). We're averaging 13 points less per game this season. We need to step it up. So I welcome Dimma's comments.

 

[tigertim]

I was listening to SEN at lunchtime Sunday, and I think it was KB made a very valid point that struck true to me... The majority of footy gameplans and strategies are designed to negate the opposition from scoring. Not many have plans or set plays to increase scoring or to pluck pluck a goal from a specific situation (perhaps with the exception a forward stoppage). We're averaging 13 points less per game this season. We need to step it up. So I welcome Dimma's comments.

Yeah, this "rope a dope" style of footy for 3 quarters then "hell for leather" in the last quarter is must be up for exploiting. Does playing the RAD style conserve more energy than the HFL style? Why not play the HFL style for 4 quarters? You'd be sweeping the teams that play the RAD style off their feet.

 

[Jetboy]

Split enz

Hahaha.......I should have known you’d respond with that Mr B

 

[LeeToRainesToRoach]

Most recent teams to use 38 players after 15 rounds. Finalists in green.

Year	Club	Used	After 15 games	Finished
2019	Me	38	16th*
2019	Ri	38	6th*
2018	Es	38	12th	11th
2018	GC	39	17th	17th
2016	Co	38	11th	12th
2016	GC	38	15th	15th
2015	Ca	40	16th	18th
2015	GC	40	17th	16th
2014	GWS	40	15th	16th
2014	St	40	18th	18th
2014	WB	39	14th	14th
2013	Co	38	7th	8th
2013	GC	38	14th	14th
2013	GWS	43	18th	18th
2013	Me	38	17th	17th
2013	WB	38	15th	15th
2012	GC	41	17th	17th
2012	GWS	41	18th	18th
2011	Br	38	15th	15th
2011	GC	40	16th	17th
2011	WB	38	9th	10th
2009	Fr	38	16th	14th
2009	Ri	38	14th	15th
2008	Fr	38	14th	14th
2007	Me	38	15th	14th
2005	Es	39	14th	13th
2001	St	39	14th	15th
1999	Ad	38	12th	13th
1999	Co	39	16th	16th
1995	Fr	39	13th	13th
1994	Es	38	7th	10th
1994	St	40	14th	13th
1993	Ri	38	13th	14th
1993	Sy	41	15th	15th
1992	Es	39	9th	8th
1992	Me	38	13th	11th
1992	NM	39	11th	12th
1991	Br	38	14th	15th
1991	Ca	38	10th	11th
1991	Ri	38	13th	13th
1991	Fi	41	15th	14th
1990	Br	41	14th	14th
1990	Ca	39	7th	8th
1990	Sy	41	13th	13th
1989	Ca	41	9th	8th
1989	Ri	38	12th	14th
1988	NM	42	10th	11th
1988	WB	39	7th	8th

Illustrates the enormity of the odds against us. We should be proud of the resilience of the club to still be in there punching at this stage.

Fingers crossed. Go Tigers!

 

[tigersnake]

often wondered what exactly is a high half forward? Is it pretty much a wingman?

or is it the role Jim Buckley used to play when he'd smoke a big scoob before the game?

that means Val Perovic was the high centre half back.

 

[DavidSSS]

I was listening to SEN at lunchtime Sunday, and I think it was KB made a very valid point that struck true to me... The majority of footy gameplans and strategies are designed to negate the opposition from scoring. Not many have plans or set plays to increase scoring or to pluck pluck a goal from a specific situation (perhaps with the exception a forward stoppage). We're averaging 13 points less per game this season. We need to step it up. So I welcome Dimma's comments.

Yeah, a focus on defence is the safe strategy, but teams must consider the old score more than the other mob strategy with scoring being quite low. It has potential but I suppose you open yourself up to criticism.

We'll see but it would be good if we could score more, with Jack potentially back, along with Lynch and Chol potentially forward at times with the small forwards, Dusty etc, could be an interesting strategy.

DS

 

[eZyT]

that means Val Perovic was the high centre half back.

True. Throw in Kenny Hunter and Brent Croswell, and Carlton played pretty high all over the ground.

 

[TigerMasochist]

Excellent work L2R2R. Where would we be without our resident number cruncher?