AFL Betting Thread | PUNT ROAD END | Richmond Tigers Forum
  • IMPORTANT // Please look after your loved ones, yourself and be kind to others. If you are feeling that the world is too hard to handle there is always help - I implore you not to hesitate in contacting one of these wonderful organisations Lifeline and Beyond Blue ... and I'm sure reaching out to our PRE community we will find a way to help. T.

AFL Betting Thread

bigwow

Tiger Legend
Jul 24, 2003
8,448
6,036
Melbourne
I actually reckon there is an angle there, not that its my bag .....

But I reckon in a Steven Bradbury scenario, we will wobble into the 8,

and they'lle panic and wind us into 20's

and probably offer a cash-out return on your stake?

Im speculating, because ive never cashed out anything in my life,

and if reincarnation is real,

I wont be cashing out till I reach nirvana either.
If we drop this week's game you should be able to get 100's or better.
 

eZyT

Tiger Legend
Jun 28, 2019
21,434
25,775
Couldnt resist the $3.25 for us to make the 8.

win the next 3, and we do.

multi'd it with Fasika in Sydney today, who will win by 3 Lengths, even with Avdulla steering
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 user

Redford

Tiger Legend
Dec 18, 2002
34,360
26,207
Tel Aviv
Couldnt resist the $3.25 for us to make the 8.

win the next 3, and we do.

multi'd it with Fasika in Sydney today, who will win by 3 Lengths, even with Avdulla steering

Not quite enough early pace from Avdulla. They were dawdling the first 700.
 

eZyT

Tiger Legend
Jun 28, 2019
21,434
25,775
Not quite enough early pace from Avdulla. They were dawdling the first 700.

I don't think ive ever backed an Avdulla winner in my life.

I didnt read that Joe Pride declared her before I backed her either.

Joe Pride horses never win when he declares them

oh well, thats punting.

should ensure tigers make the finals, so $$ well spent.
 

Redford

Tiger Legend
Dec 18, 2002
34,360
26,207
Tel Aviv
I don't think ive ever backed an Avdulla winner in my life.

I didnt read that Joe Pride declared her before I backed her either.

Joe Pride horses never win when he declares them

oh well, thats punting.

should ensure tigers make the finals, so $$ well spent.

He’s not as bad as Newitt. He totally butchered (again) the short priced favourite Lyndout at Flemington today.
 

eZyT

Tiger Legend
Jun 28, 2019
21,434
25,775
Not sure that is value. Likely odds $1.50 $2.50 and $1.50 = $5.60.

when I made the bet, no way would we be $2.50 to beat GWS if we beat North and they lose to Geelong,

$1.6?

But yeah.
 

MD Jazz

Don't understand football? Talk to the hand.
Feb 3, 2017
13,329
13,712
Not sure that is value. Likely odds $1.50 $2.50 and $1.50 = $5.60.
We won’t be 1.50 against hawks (esp assuming we had won the previous 2) more like 1.20 or 1.25?
nor 2.50 against GWS?
 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 user

Redford

Tiger Legend
Dec 18, 2002
34,360
26,207
Tel Aviv
Casper.

Its the percentage quadrella approach I use on the rare occasion that I take a quaddie. Most people just dump down on the one quad. You should take multiple quads with an anchor in a different leg in each quad.

 
  • Like
Reactions: 1 users

eZyT

Tiger Legend
Jun 28, 2019
21,434
25,775
The GWS/Tigers ht/ft double @$6.5 seems the value bet.

baffled why we are favourites tonight.

One horse won a listed race last start and the other won a class 3
 

Redford

Tiger Legend
Dec 18, 2002
34,360
26,207
Tel Aviv
no way, beating geelong in geelong this century, is the toughest assignment in footy by a mile
I thought you were referring Richmond won a Listed and GWS won a Group 3. I see what you're saying...
 
Last edited:
  • Like
Reactions: 1 user

Redford

Tiger Legend
Dec 18, 2002
34,360
26,207
Tel Aviv
We're out to $1.71 now tonight. About where I thought we might be at this time. Might eke out a bit further. Maybe $1.75.
 

eZyT

Tiger Legend
Jun 28, 2019
21,434
25,775
Ive got 20% left in my punting cap this year, and i cant seem to be able to understand the form guide anymore,

so im maxing out on Dees to win the flag @$5,

in a final play to break even for 2021,

which would be a fine result,

under the circumstances.