TigerMasochist said:
If we've used our two first round picks before someone call Patrick, then all we've got is our next two third round picks to utilise, to make up enough points value to over ride the bid.
Not exactly sure how it works if one third rounder isn't worth enough points. Either we use the two third picks n have some points left over for somewhere else or our extra third rounder would be devalued n slide back in the draft.
Would be absolutely gob smacked if we weren't looking at five or six changes to our list end of this year. There's not a punter on here would struggle to nominate half a dozen vacancies at years end.
OK
Say we finish 8th, Geelong finishes 5th and GWS 2nd We would have the following (ignoring the compensation picks which will happen and change all the following):
Our first round pick #11 worth 1329points
Geelong's first round # 14 worth 1161points
our 3rd round pick #47 worth 316 points
GWS 3rd round pick #53 worth 233points
So for Naish we would need clubs to wait until after pick 14 and then we would be looking to use the two round 3 picks. These two picks together add up to 549 and allowing for this to be 80% of a higher pick we have 686 points.
Pick #27 is 703 points
Pick # 28 is 677points
So if a club bids for Naish after pick #14 and before Pick #28 we would need to use both 3rd round picks plus our 4th round. If this is not enough then we go into deficit and have to make it up in 2018 which will affect the value of our first round pick (so need to consider trading it to get full value)
If a club bids for Naish after pick 28 we will have enough points in the two 3rd round picks. Any left over points would mean one of the 3rd round picks remain alive and will drop into the draft at the same level of the remaining picks.
Simples
We could try and trade both first round picks to say the team which finished 4th for their 1st and 3rd round picks say picks # 4 and #40. This would give us a gun player plus make sure we don't adversely affect 2018 draft values.